Yankees vs Mariners Prediction 7/10/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Yankees vs Mariners prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, July 10th at Yankee Stadium in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 51-41 this season after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 10-3 and 9-6. In their game two win, New York led 3-0 after the first inning, and they pulled away in the sixth for the victory. The Yankees recorded 13 hits in the game, and they were led by Chisholm Jr., who went 2-4 with two home runs and four RBIs in the win. New York started Schlittler, who allowed four hits and three earned runs over 5.1 innings for the win, while Loaisiga allowed three earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Yankees lost two out of three against the Mets and all four against the Blue Jays. New York has won three games in a row, and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .224 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 481 runs with a .257 batting average and a .338 on-base percentage this season. Aaron Judge has led New York with 34 home runs and 77 RBIs, while Jazz Chisholm has added 17 home runs and 43 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Marcus Stroman, who is 1-1 with a 7.45 ERA and a 1.66 WHIP over 19.1 innings pitched this season. 

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 48-44 this year after they lost game two by a score of 9-6 on Wednesday night. Seattle cut the deficit to 4-2 and 6-4, but they couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Mariners recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Young and Arozarena, who both had two RBIs in the loss. Seattle started Evans, who allowed nine hits and six earned runs over 4.2 innings for the loss, while Vargas allowed two earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Mariners swept the Pirates in three games and split four games with the Royals. Seattle has won three of their last five games, and they are currently second in the AL West standings. The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 411 runs with a .247 batting average and a .322 on-base percentage this season. Cal Raleigh has led Seattle with 36 home runs and 76 RBIs, while Randy Arozarena has added 15 home runs and 44 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Bryan Woo, who is 8-4 with a 2.77 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP over 107.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Yankees will beat the Mariners

• The Yankees have won eight of their last nine games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The Mariners have lost six of their last seven games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last 15 games as underdogs against the Mariners.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites against the Yankees following a loss.
• The Yankees have won the first inning in four of their last five games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against the Mariners at Yankee Stadium.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Yankees’ last 10 games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mariners’ last five games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Mariners’ last 10 road games against AL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Yankees’ last seven games as underdogs.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Marcus Stroman has recorded four or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 appearances with his team as a home underdog.
• Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 19 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Aaron Judge has hit a home run in three of the Yankees’ last four games as underdogs.
• Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

• Cal Raleigh has hit at least one home run in four of the Mariners’ last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Julio Rodriguez has recorded a Double in each of the Mariners’ last three games.
• J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last 10 games.

Yankees vs Mariners Prediction 

New York comes into this matchup looking to complete the series sweep, and they have scored 25 runs in their last three games. The Yankees are 28-17 at home this year, while the Mariners are 23-23 on the road. Seattle has only scored 11 runs in their last four games, and they are facing Stroman, who has been decent since returning from the IL. The Mariners are starting Woo, who has allowed a total of two earned runs in his last four starts (25.0 IP). Seattle has the pitching advantage, but how often are we going to get New York at plus money at home? Take the Yankees here.