Yankees vs Mariners Prediction 8/11/26 MLB Picks Today
Seattle Mariners (56-63) vs. NY Yankees (66-52)
August 11, 2026 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -131 / Seattle Mariners 109; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)
The Seattle Mariners and New York Yankees meet Tuesday in MLB action at Yankee Stadium. Here’s a Yankees vs Mariners Prediction. This article will include a Yankees vs Mariners Pick.
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
The Seattle Mariners are 56-63 on the year and play the Astros and Brewers next. The Seattle Mariners are batting .229 on the season, have a .308 OBP, and have a .375 slugging percentage. The Seattle Mariners’ pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. Cole Young leads the Seattle Mariners with 115 hits and 52 RBI, while Randy Arozarena and Josh Naylor have combined for 226 hits and 91 RBI.
Bryan Woo gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he is 8-8 with a 4.31 ERA and 127 strikeouts this season. Woo is 2-1 with a 2.73 ERA and 30 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 66-52 on the year and play the Blue Jays and Orioles next. The New York Yankees are batting .230 on the season, with a .309 OBP and a .411 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees’ pitching staff has a 3.30 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. Ben Rice leads the New York Yankees with 108 hits and 75 RBI, while Cody Bellinger and Jazz Chisholm Jr. have combined for 180 hits and 100 RBI.
Ryan Weathers gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 5-7 with a 3.79 ERA and 132 strikeouts this season. Weathers is 0-0 with a 2.16 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his career against the Seattle Mariners.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Mariners have lost each of their last seven night games against AL East opponents.
- The Yankees have won each of their last seven night games against AL West opponents following a loss.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against AL East opponents.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against the Mariners following a loss.
- The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six road games.
- The Mariners have lost the first inning in each of their last seven road games.
- The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in nine of their last 10 night games against opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The Mariners have won 10 of their last 12 games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a home loss.
- The Yankees have lost five of their last six games as home favorites against American League opponents.
- The Mariners have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as road underdogs following a home loss.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites.
- The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Yankees have lost the first inning in four of their last five home games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six home games against American League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the last eight games between the Mariners and Yankees at Yankee Stadium have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Mariners’ last eight road games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mariners’ last seven road games.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Yankees’ last seven home games against AL West opponents.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Ben Rice has hit a home run in each of the Yankees’ last two night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Ryan Weathers has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against AL West opponents.
- Heliot Ramos has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against the Mariners.
- Luis Garcia ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.551) this season.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Randy Arozarena has hit a home run in three of the Mariners’ last four road games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Bryan Woo has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents.
- Cole Young has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last 15 games as underdogs.
- Josh Naylor ranks T10th in the league in Steals (23) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.30).
- The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for home runs this season (167).
- The Mariners rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (462).
- The Mariners rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (142).
Yankees vs Mariners Prediction
The Mariners continue to be hit or miss, and it’s been night and day for Woo on the road and at home. At home, Woo has a 1.96 ERA and a .164 allowed batting average, but it jumps to a 6.71 ERA and a .300 allowed batting average on the road. Weathers has allowed 7 hits and 0 runs in his last 13 innings. Clear edge on the mound for the home team. I’m going to side with the Yankees and the soft price on Tuesday night.