Yankees vs Marlins Prediction 4/3/26 MLB Picks Today

The Miami Marlins and New York Yankees meet Friday in MLB action at Yankee Stadium. Here’s a Yankees vs. Marlins Prediction. This article will include a Yankees vs. Marlins Pick.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 5-1 on the year and play the Reds and Tigers next. The Miami Marlins are batting .290 on the season, have a .365 OBP, and have a .482 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins pitching staff has a 2.83 ERA and a 0.83 WHIP. Xavier Edwards leads the Miami Marlins with 9 hits and 0 RBI, while Javier Sanoja and Liam Hicks have combined for 14 hits and 15 RBI.

Eury Perez gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 0-0 with a 3.86 ERA and 8 strikeouts this season. Perez is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA and 10 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 5-1 on the year and play the Athletics and Rays next. The New York Yankees are batting .227 on the season and have a .287 OBP, and a .359 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees pitching staff has a 1.01 ERA and a 0.84 WHIP. Giancarlo Stanton leads the New York Yankees with 10 hits and 4 RBI while Ben Rice and Cody Bellinger have combined for 13 hits and 5 RBI.

Will Warren gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 0-0 with a 2.08 ERA and 3 strikeouts this season. This will be Warren’s first career game against the Miami Marlins.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won each of their last nine games against National League opponents.
• The Marlins have lost each of their last six road games against American League opponents following a home win.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against National League opponents.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games following a win.
• The Yankees have won the first inning in four of their last five games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last nine games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last four home games against National League opponents.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Yankees have lost three of their last four games as home favorites following a road win.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in 15 of their last 16 day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four home games following a road win.
• The Yankees have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against the Yankees.
• The Marlins have led after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against the Yankees.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Yankees’ last 10 games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Marlins’ last four games as underdogs has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last five games at Yankee Stadium.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Yankees’ last six games as home favorites against National League opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in four of his last five home appearances against NL opponents.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against NL East opponents.
• Giancarlo Stanton ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.500) this season.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last nine games.
• Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances with the Marlins as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Liam Hicks ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (1.133) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (1.01).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.174).
• The Marlins rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.290).
• The Marlins rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.482).

Yankees vs Marlins Prediction

I understand the skepticism when it comes to the Marlins, as they didn’t have the toughest schedule to start the season. This is a measuring stick series to get a better outlook on this club. It’s the home opener for a Yankees team that’s been dealing through six games. However, the Marlins look like a team that can make us money this season the same way they did a year ago. Also, we’re getting 1.5 times our money with the better pitcher. Eury Perez has to stay healthy, but he has ace-caliber stuff. I’m grabbing the plus money with the fish, as the value is too good to pass up.