Yankees vs Marlins Prediction 4/5/26 MLB Picks Today

The Miami Marlins and New York Yankees meet Sunday in MLB action at Yankee Stadium. Here’s a Yankees vs. Marlins Prediction. This article will include a Yankees vs. Marlins Pick.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 5-3 on the year and play the Reds and Tigers next. The Miami Marlins are batting .284 on the season, have a .355 OBP, and have a .462 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins pitching staff has a 3.99 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP. Xavier Edwards leads the Miami Marlins with 14 hits and 2 RBI, while Javier Sanoja and Otto Lopez have combined for 18 hits and 7 RBI.

Chris Paddack gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 0-1 with a 18.00 ERA and 6 strikeouts this season. Paddack is 0-3 with an 8.47 ERA and 21 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 7-1 on the year and play the Athletics and Rays next. The New York Yankees are batting .226 on the season and have a .328 OBP, and a .377 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees pitching staff has a 1.77 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP. Giancarlo Stanton leads the New York Yankees with 11 hits and 6 RBI while Ben Rice and Cody Bellinger have combined for 17 hits and 11 RBI.

Max Fried gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 10 strikeouts this season. Fried is 6-4 with a 4.23 ERA and 83 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won each of their last 11 games against National League opponents.
• The Marlins have lost each of their last four road games.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games against National League opponents.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games following a loss.
• The Yankees have won the first inning in each of their last four day games at Yankee Stadium.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last six home day games.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in five of their last six home games against National League opponents.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won seven of their last eight Sunday games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have lost three of their last four day games against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Sunday games against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six day games against NL East opponents following a home win.
• The Marlins have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against the Yankees.
• The Marlins have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games.
• The Yankees have lost the first inning in three of their last four home games.

Total Runs Facts

• Eleven of the Yankees’ last 12 games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Marlins’ last five games has gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Yankees’ last eight games as home favorites against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Marlins’ last six games as underdogs.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Aaron Judge has hit a home run in three of the Yankees’ last four games against NL opponents.
• Max Fried has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with his team as a favorite against NL East opponents.
• Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 home appearances against the Marlins.
• Max Fried has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances against the Marlins.
• Jazz Chisholm ranks T1st in the league in Steals (4) this season.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Chris Paddack has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his four previous appearances against the Yankees.
• Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 11 games.
• Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances with the Marlins as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Xavier Edwards ranks T2nd in the league in Hits (14) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (17).
• The Yankees rank T1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (2).
• The Marlins rank T1st in the league for triples this season (3).
• The Marlins rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.284).

Yankees vs Marlins Prediction

The Yankees have had a field day offensively in this series and I doubt things change against Paddack, who was dreadful in his season opener. Freid is looking like an early CY Young candidate through three starts. The Yankees are just flexing their muscles in this series and they have a clear pitching edge. I have no choice but to side with the Yankees for the sweep and i’ll lay the RL to shave down the price.