Yankees vs Mets Prediction 5/16/25 MLB Picks Today

The New York Mets and New York Yankees meet Friday in MLB action at Yankee Stadium. Here’s a Yankees vs Mets Prediction. This article will include a Yankees vs Mets Pick.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 28-16 on the year and play the Red Sox, Dodgers, and White Sox next. The New York Mets are batting .253 on the season, have a .332 OBP, and a .427 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 2.84 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Francisco Lindor leads the New York Mets with 52 hits and 26 RBI, while Pete Alonso and Juan Soto have combined for 90 hits and 56 RBI.

Tylor Megill gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 3-3 with a 3.10 ERA and 52 strikeouts this season. This will be Megill’s second career game against the New York Yankees.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 25-18 on the year and play the Rangers, Rockies, and Angels next. The New York Yankees are batting .263 on the season, have a .347 OBP, and a .481 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees pitching staff has a 3.62 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. Aaron Judge leads the New York Yankees with 68 hits and 41 RBI while Paul Goldschmidt and Anthony Volpe have combined for 93 hits and 46 RBI.

Carlos Rodon gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 4-3 with a 3.29 ERA and 67 strikeouts this season. Rodon is 2-0 with a 0.85 ERA and 12 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last eight games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Yankees have won each of their last four home games against NL East opponents following a road win.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 night games against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last four home games against NL East opponents following a road win.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last nine games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Yankees have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have won each of their last eight games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Trent Grisham has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances against NL opponents.
• Carlos Rodon has recorded seven or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances.
• Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances.
• Jazz Chisholm has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against NL East opponents.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances with the Yankees as home favorites against NL East opponents.
• Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Jazz Chisholm has scored at least one run in each of the Yankees’ last six games against NL East opponents.
• Aaron Judge ranks 1st in the league in Hits (68) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has hit a home run in each of his last three road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded a Double in four of the Mets’ last five games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets’ last four games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven road appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Juan Soto has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Tylor Megill has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with his team as an underdog against AL East opponents.
• Tylor Megill has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Pete Alonso ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.421) this season.

Yankees vs Mets Prediction

The Mets and the plus money is attractive given they’re one of the best teams in baseball. The problem is the Mets have lost five of their last six games with Megill on the hill, and he’s allowed 11 hits and eight runs in his last 9.2 innings. On the road Megill has a 4.22 ERA compared to his 1.86 ERA at home. Rodon has allowed zero earned runs in three of his last five starts, and he’s allowed a combined six earned runs in his last 31.2 innings. Rodon is averaging more than a strikeout per inning and is allowing a .171 batting average on the year. Give me the Yankees and the reasonable price given the starting pitching edge.