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Yankees vs Rangers Prediction 5/22/25 MLB Picks Today

Texas Rangers (25-25) vs. NY Yankees (29-19)
May 22, 2025 12:35 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -162 / Texas Rangers 136; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Yankees vs Rangers prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, May 22, at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers (25-25, 8-15 Away) are currently on a three-game losing skid. After beating the Tigers and sweeping the Rockies, the Rangers split the series with the Astros and then opened this one against the Yankees with a pair of losses. In Wednesday’s narrow 4-3 defeat, Jake Burger led the offense with a couple of solo homers, while Jacob deGrom pitched for 7.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing two runs on three hits with nine strikeouts and one walk. Luke Jackson took the loss.

This season, the Rangers average 3.43 runs per game (26th in the MLB) on a .227/.288/.369 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rangers’ staff has a 3.28 ERA (4th) and 1.14 WHIP (2nd). Adolis Garcia leads the Rangers with a .218 batting average, six home runs, and 24 RBI this season.

Nathan Eovaldi will take the mound for the Rangers on Thursday. The 35-year-old right-hander has a 4-2 record in ten starts this year with a 1.61 ERA and 0.77 WHIP in 61.1 innings.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees (29-19, 17-9 Home) won four series in a row after defeating the Padres, Athletics, Mariners, and Mets. Add one more to that streak following two wins in the opening two games against the Texas Rangers at home. In last night’s 4-3 victory, the Yankees scored two runs in the 8th and 9th to come from behind and snatch a W, despite being outhit, 10-5. Ryan Yarbrough pitched for 5.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing one run on three hits with eight strikeouts and no walks. Luke Weaver was credited with the win.

This year, the Yankees average 5.77 runs per game (2nd in the MLB) on a .262/.347/.476 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Yankees’ staff has a 3.50 ERA (10th) and 1.17 WHIP (7th). Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with a .402 batting average, 16 home runs, and 44 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Yankees is Carlos Rodon, who is 5-3 in ten starts this season, with a 3.17 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in 59.2 innings.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Rangers’ last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Yankees’ last four games as favorites against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Yankees’ last nine games at Yankee Stadium.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Yankees rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.346).
  • The Yankees rank 1st in the league for walks this season (198).
  • The Rangers rank 28th in the league for walks this season (127).
  • The Rangers rank 27th in the league for runs scored this season (171).

Yankees vs Rangers Prediction

The Yankees won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, including four of the last six. Both games of this series went Under, and I am backing another Under on Thursday. The reason for it is the pitching matchup between Eovaldi and Rodon. Eovaldi is one of the best pitchers in the AL this year and is playing the season of his career. Eovaldi allowed just two runs in his last five starts (three shutouts) and surrendered more than two runs in a game only once this season. Rodon, on the other hand, had three shutouts in his previous six starts. He allowed a .197 BA in 66 at-bats against Texas, while the Rangers have a .221 BA in 443 at-bats against southpaws this year. Go with Under.

Oliver Zivic's Free Pick: Under 7.5

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Oliver Zivic

Professional journalist and expert bettor with 20+ years of experience. I cover Football (soccer), NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB, CFB, and CBB.

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