Yankees vs Rays Prediction 5/2/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Yankees vs Rays Prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 2nd, at Oracle Park. Let’s take a look at the New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays pick. 

Bad Series for the Yankees

The Yankees had a disappointing series against the Baltimore Orioles, losing two of the three games. On Tuesday, the Yakees scored 15 runs on the way to the victory, and that was enough for the 12-run victory. In the last game, however, they scored four runs and ultimately lost by a single run. Aaron Judge did have a strong game, hitting a home run and driving in three RBIs. 

The Yankees are averaging 5.71 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.03 runs per game. The offense is ranked 2nd while the pitching is ranked 11th. Aaron Judge has hit 10 home runs and driven in 32 RBIs. Getting the start for the Yankees is Max Fried, and he sits with a 5-0 record and an ERA of 1.19. Against the Toronto Blue Jays in his last start, he went six innings, giving up five hits and one run. 

Why the Yankees Will Beat the Rays

• The Yankees have won each of their last six night games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Rays have lost eight of their last nine games against American League opponents.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last seven games following a loss.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against American League opponents.
• The Yankees have won the first inning in three of their last four games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games against the Rays.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last three games against the Rays.

Bad Start for the Rays

It has been a bad start for the Rays, and they are coming off another loss in the last game. In the last game against the Kansas City Royals, the offense only managed two runs, and that led to the defeat. Yandy Diaz hit a home run, but he was the only real bright spot. Shane Baz went 5.2 innings, giving up nine hits and seven runs. He had three walks and one strikeout. 

The Rays are averaging 3.9 runs while their pitching is giving up 3.81 runs per game. The offense is ranked 20th, while the pitching is ranked 8th. Brandon Lowe has hit four home runs and driven in 15 RBIs. Getting the start for the Rays will be Ryan Pepiot, who sits with a 2-3 record and an ERA of 4.24. Against the San Diego Padres in his last start, he went six innings, giving up three hits and one run. 

Yankees vs Rays Prediction

Give me the Yankees here, and it all comes down to their pitching.  Max Fried is on the mound, and he sits with an ERA of 1.19. He gave up five hits and one run in his last start, and he’s going to be just as good here. The Rays are averaging 3.9 runs, and they aren’t going to get to that number here. We know the Yankees’ offense is good, and they are going to tee off on Pepiot here. Back the Yankees on the run line to cash here.