Yankees vs Rays Prediction 7-29-25 MLB Picks

The Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees meet Tuesday in MLB action at Yankee Stadium. Here’s a Yankees vs Rays Prediction. This article will include a Yankees vs Rays Pick.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 54-53 on the year and play the Dodgers, Angels, and Mariners next. The Tampa Bay Rays are batting .255 on the season, have a .321 OBP, and a .402 slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays pitching staff has a 3.86 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 114 hits and 62 RBI, while Jonathan Aranda and Junior Caminero have combined for 211 hits and 121 RBI.

Joe Boyle gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 1-0 with a 1.42 ERA and 18 strikeouts this season. This will be Boyle’s second career game against the New York Yankees.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 57-49 on the year and play the Marlins, Rangers, and Astros next. The New York Yankees are batting .253 on the season, have a .332 OBP, and a .451 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees’ pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Aaron Judge leads the New York Yankees with 129 hits and 85 RBI, while Cody Bellinger and Paul Goldschmidt have combined for 208 hits and 95 RBI.

Max Fried gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 11-4 with a 2.62 ERA and 116 strikeouts this season. Fried is 4-0 with a 0.32 ERA and 22 strikeouts in his career against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Rays have lost seven of their last eight road games.
• The Yankees have won nine of their last 10 home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight Tuesday night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have covered the run line each of their last four home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Tuesday night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Yankees have lost each of their last seven games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The underdogs have won seven of the Yankees’ last eight games.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the Yankees’ last eight games.
• The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games as favorites against AL East opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Max Fried has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight home appearances against AL opponents.
• Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 22 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Max Fried has recorded a win in each of his four previous appearances against the Rays.
• Aaron Judge has hit a home run in each of the Yankees’ last five home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances at Yankee Stadium against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Max Fried ranks T3rd in the league for Wins (11) this season.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Danny Jansen has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against AL East opponents.
• Jose Caballero ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (33) this season.

Yankees vs Rays Prediction

The Rays have been in a funk over the last week or so, and Boyle isn’t going deep into games, as he’s pitched 14 innings in his last four games combined. The Yankees are due for a bounce-back performance, and Fried has been money this season with a 2.62 ERA and 1.04 WHIP. In 52.1 home innings, Fried has a 2.24 ERA and a .201 allowed batting average. Fried has owned the Rays in his career, and that includes holding current hitters to a .109 batting average and seven strikeouts in 46 at-bats. I like the Yankees in this spot at home. I’ll lay the RL to shave down the juice.