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Yankees vs Rays Prediction 9/24/26 MLB Picks Today

Tampa Bay Rays (96-62) vs. NY Yankees (91-67)
September 24, 2026 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -156 / Tampa Bay Rays 129; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees meet Thursday in MLB action at Yankee Stadium. Here’s a Yankees vs. Rays Prediction. This article will include a Yankees vs. Rays Pick.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 96-62 on the year and play the Phillies next. The Tampa Bay Rays are batting .259 on the season, have a .328 OBP, and have a .404 slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays’ pitching staff has a 3.70 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 173 hits and 81 RBI, while Chandler Simpson and Junior Caminero have combined for 336 hits and 135 RBI.

Ian Seymour gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 9-7 with a 4.38 ERA and 155 strikeouts this season. Seymour is 2-0 with a 6.59 ERA and 23 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 91-67 this year and play the Orioles next. The New York Yankees are batting .235 on the season, with a .311 OBP and a .410 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees’ pitching staff has a 3.22 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. Ben Rice leads the New York Yankees with 144 hits and 95 RBI, while Cody Bellinger and Jazz Chisholm Jr. have combined for 237 hits and 126 RBI.

Cam Schlittler gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 14-6 with a 1.94 ERA and 234 strikeouts this season. Schlittler is 1-2 with a 2.63 ERA and 29 strikeouts in his career against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Why the New York Yankees will win

  • The Yankees have won eight of their last nine night games after playing the previous day.
  • The Rays have lost 10 of their last 12 road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Rays have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against AL East opponents.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games after playing the previous day.
  • The Yankees have won the first inning in three of their last four night games at Yankee Stadium.
  • The Yankees have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven night games against AL East opponents.
  • The Yankees have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight home night games.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

  • The Rays have won each of their last six games as underdogs following a road loss.
  • The Yankees have lost seven of their last eight games as home favorites against AL opponents following a home win.
  • The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last nine night games at Yankee Stadium following a road loss.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against the Rays following a home win.
  • The Rays have led after 3 innings in four of their last five road night games.
  • The Rays have led after 5 innings in five of their last six road night games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Yankees’ last eight night games against AL opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Six of the Rays’ last seven night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in six of the last seven night games between the Rays and Yankees.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in four of the Rays’ last five road games.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Ben Rice has hit at least one home run in each of his last two home appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Cam Schlittler has recorded a win in each of his last four home appearances.
  • George Lombard Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against AL opponents.
  • Cam Schlittler has recorded seven or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with the Yankees as favorites against AL opponents.
  • Cam Schlittler ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (1.94) this season.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Junior Caminero has hit a home run in four of the Rays’ last five Thursday night games as underdogs.
  • Ian Seymour has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Chandler Simpson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Rays as underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • Chandler Simpson ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (46) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (221).
  • The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.21).
  • The Rays rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.258).
  • The Rays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (1108).

Yankees vs Rays Prediction

Seymour has been hittable this season with a 4.38 ERA through 127.1 innings. I’m not sure how much Schlittler is going to pitch considering he’ll be asked to step up in a wild card spot, but he’s still been one of the best pitchers in baseball. Through 190.2 innings, Schlittler has a 1.94 ERA and 0.91 WHIP. I’m rolling with the Yankees at home.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: NY Yankees -156

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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