Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction 8/28/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Yankees vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 28th at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 75-58 this year after they lost two out of three against the Astros by scores of 7-9, 9-3, and 1-5. In game three, New York cut the deficit to 3-1 in the sixth inning, but couldn’t find anymore offense in the loss. The Yankees recorded five hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Bellinger, who went 0-2 with one RBI. Cole allowed six hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while De los Santos allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to that series, New York won two out of three against the Blue Jays and all three against the Orioles. 

This season, New York has a 3.24 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .225 opponent batting average, while they have scored 596 runs with a .231 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Ben Rice has led the Yankees with 35 home runs and 83 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 12 home runs and 59 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Cam Schlittler, who is 11-6 with a 2.16 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP over 158.0 innings pitched this year. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 73-60 this season after they won two out of three against the Marlins by scores of 4-2, 7-3, and 0-4. In game three, Boston fell behind in the first inning and never scored in the shutout loss. The Red Sox recorded five hits and they committed four errors in the game, while they were led by Durbin, who went 2-4. Gray allowed seven hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Moran threw 2.0 innings in relief. Prior to that series, Boston swept the Giants in three games and won two out of three against the Diamondbacks. 

This season, Boston has a 3.47 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 600 runs with a .250 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Willson Contreras has led the Red Sox with 26 home runs and 78 RBIs, while Jarren Duran has added 18 home runs and 66 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Patrick Sandoval, who is 1-2 with a 4.54 ERA and a 1.76 WHIP over 39.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won each of their last seven home games following a loss.
• The Red Sox have lost seven of their last eight road games against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won each of their last 16 games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have lost 17 of their last 26 games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Friday games against AL opponents.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line each of their last four night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in 10 of their last 11 night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Yankees’ last six night games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Nine of the Red Sox’s last 11 games as underdogs against the Yankees have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Yankees’ last nine night games against AL East opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games as road underdogs against AL opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Ben Rice has hit at least one home run in three of the Yankees’ last four games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Cam Schlittler has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Heliot Ramos has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with his team as a home favorite against AL East opponents.
• Cam Schlittler ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (2.16) this season.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit at least one home run in each of the Red Sox’s last four games as underdogs.
• Patrick Sandoval has recorded seven strikeouts in three of his four previous appearances against the Yankees.
• Nick Sogard has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Willson Contreras ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.390) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.24).
• The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for home runs this season (183).
• The Red Sox rank 2nd in the league for doubles this season (241).
• The Red Sox rank 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (127).

Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction 

Boston comes into this matchup after their winning streak was snapped on Wednesday, but they continue to be one of the hottest teams in the AL. The Red Sox are 39-28 on the road this year, while the Yankees are 34-30 at home. New York has alternated wins and losses over their last five games, but they have scored 7+ runs in three of their last four. The Yankees are starting Schlittler, who has allowed one earned run in four of his last five starts, while Sandoval has allowed two earned runs in four of his last five outings. Take the under here.