Yankees vs Reds Prediction 6/19/26 MLB Picks Today
Cincinnati Reds (35-38) vs. NY Yankees (45-28)
June 19, 2026 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -278 / Cincinnati Reds 223; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Yankees vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 19th at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 45-28 this year after they won two out of three against the White Sox by scores of 12-2, 10-5, and 1-5. In game three, New York tied the game at one in the third inning, but failed to score anymore runs in the loss. The Yankees recorded six hits in the game and they were led by McMahon, who went 1-3 with one home run and one RBI. Weathers allowed three hits and one earned run over 6.1 innings, while Cruz picked up the loss in relief. Prior to that series, New York won two out of three against the Blue Jays and all three against the Guardians.
This season, New York has a 3.35 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .224 opponent batting average, while they have scored 381 runs with a .246 batting average and a .332 on base percentage. Ben Rice has led the Yankees with 20 home runs and 49 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 11 home runs and 49 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Cam Schlittler, who is 7-3 with a 1.82 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP over 89.0 innings pitched this year.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 35-38 this season after they won two out of three against the Mets by scores of 12-0, 5-3, and 1-9. In game three, Cincinnati cut the deficit to 3-1 in the third inning, but couldn’t score in the last six innings in the ugly loss. The Reds recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Bleday, who went 0-2 with one RBI. Lodolo allowed 11 hits and seven earned runs over 4.2 innings for the loss, while Paddack allowed two earned runs over 4.1 relief innings. Prior to that series, Cincinnati lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks and two out of three against the Padres.
This season, Cincinnati has a 4.65 ERA with a 1.47 WHIP and a .251 opponent batting average, while they have scored 311 runs with a .228 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Sal Stewart has led the Reds with 14 home runs and 47 RBIs, while Elly De La Cruz has added 12 home runs and 37 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Rhett Lowder, who is 3-3 with a 4.60 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 47.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Yankees have won each of their last six home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have lost each of their last six games as road underdogs.
- The Yankees have covered the run line each of their last six home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against American League opponents.
- The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last five home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Yankees have won the first inning in five of their last six home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last six home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Reds have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against the Yankees.
- The Yankees have lost four of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against the Yankees.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 home games after playing the previous day.
- The Reds have won the first inning in three of their last four games.
- The Reds have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Reds have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Reds’ last six games as underdogs against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Yankees’ last four home games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Yankees’ last nine games as home favorites against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last four games at Yankee Stadium.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Jazz Chisholm has hit at least one home run in each of his last three home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last 10 games.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Jose Trevino has hit a home run in two of his last three road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in 20 of his last 21 appearances against AL opponents.
Yankees vs Reds Prediction
New York had their winning streak snapped on Thursday night against the White Sox, but they are red hot right now and they have scored 8+ runs in three of their last four games. The Yankees are 21-13 at home this year, while the Reds are 16-19 on the road. Cincinnati has split their last four games and they have allowed three runs or fewer in three of their last five. The Reds are starting Lowder, who has allowed 1, 0, 3, 8, and 2 earned runs in his last five starts, while Schlitter has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Take the Yankees -1.5 here.