Yankees vs Twins Prediction 7/5/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Yankees vs Twins prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 5th at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 49-39 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 5-2 and 4-11. In game two, New York cut the deficit from 6-0 to 6-4 in the fourth inning, but they allowed the last five runs to seal the loss. The Yankees recorded seven hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Schuemann, who went 2-2 with one home run and two RBIs. Beck allowed five hits and five earned runs over 3.2 innings for the loss, while Hill allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, New York lost all three against the Tigers and all four against the Red Sox. 

This season, New York has a 3.39 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .227 opponent batting average, while they have scored 426 runs with a .235 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Ben Rice has led the Yankees with 24 home runs and 56 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 11 home runs and 50 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Ryan Weathers, who is 3-6 with a 4.08 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 88.1 innings pitched this season. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 43-47 this year after they won game two by a score of 11-4 on Saturday afternoon. Minnesota nearly blew a 6-0 lead in the middle innings, but they pulled away in the eighth for the lopsided win. The Twins recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Bell, who went 3-5 with two home runs and three RBIs. Matthews allowed three hits and four earned runs over 4.2 innings, while Rogers picked up the win in relief. Prior to this series, Minnesota won two out of three against the Astros and two out of three against the Rockies. 

This season, Minnesota has a 4.82 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP and a .255 opponent batting average, while they have scored 442 runs with a .246 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. Byron Buxton has led the Twins with 25 home runs and 45 RBIs, while Josh Bell has added 13 home runs and 59 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Joe Ryan, who is 5-5 with a 3.61 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 97.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Twins have lost each of their last six games against the Yankees following a win.
• The Yankees have won each of their last six day games against the Twins following a loss.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against the Yankees following a win.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last six Sunday games against American League opponents.
• The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in 10 of their last 11 games at Yankee Stadium.
• The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 11 games at Yankee Stadium.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Yankees have lost each of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
• The Twins have won each of their last five games as road underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in eight of the Twins’ last nine games.
• The Twins have led after 3 innings in each of their last five day games against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 games as favorites.
• The Twins have won the first inning in each of their last five day games against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Twins’ last four day games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Yankees’ last five games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Twins’ last seven games against AL East opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the last four games between the Twins and Yankees.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Trent Grisham has hit at least one home run in three of the Yankees’ last four games against the Twins.
• Ryan Weathers has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Anthony Volpe has recorded at least one hit in each of his 18 previous appearances against the Twins.
• Ryan Weathers has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Jazz Chisholm ranks 3rd in the league in Steals (26) this season.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Joe Ryan has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Royce Lewis has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last 11 games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Kody Clemens has hit a home run in four of the Twins’ last five games as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Joe Ryan has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against the Yankees.
• Byron Buxton ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.574) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (128).
• The Yankees rank T2nd in the league for steals this season (92).
• The Twins rank T4th in the league for RBIs this season (420).
• The Twins rank 27th in the league for ERA this season (4.82).

Yankees vs Twins Prediction

New York picked up another loss in game two on Saturday and they have allowed 6+ runs in four of their last five games. The Yankees are 23-19 at home this year, while the Twins are 21-24 on the road. Minnesota has alternated wins and losses over their last five games and they have scored 24 runs in those three wins. The Twins are starting Ryan, who has allowed 10 earned runs in his last 10.0 innings, while Weathers has had three poor outings in his last five starts. Take the over here.