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Yankees vs Twins Prediction 8/11/25 MLB Picks Today

Minnesota Twins (56-61) vs. NY Yankees (62-56)
August 11, 2025 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -180 / Minnesota Twins 147; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)

The Minnesota Twins and New York Yankees meet Monday in MLB action at Yankee Stadium. Here’s a Yankees vs Twins Prediction. This article will include a Yankees vs Twins Pick.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 56-61 on the year and play the Tigers, Athletics, and White Sox next. The Minnesota Twins are batting .242 on the season, have a .313 OBP, and a .401 slugging percentage. The Minnesota Twins pitching staff has a 4.24 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Byron Buxton leads the Minnesota Twins with 92 hits and 59 RBI, while Trevor Larnach and Ryan Jeffers have combined for 178 hits and 88 RBI.

Zebby Matthews gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 3-3 with a 5.17 ERA and 48 strikeouts this season. Matthews is 6-5 with a 3.70 ERA and 96 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 62-56 on the year and play the Cardinals, Rays, and Red Sox next. The New York Yankees are batting .249 on the season, have a .328 OBP, and a .443 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees pitching staff has a 4.06 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Aaron Judge leads the New York Yankees with 132 hits and 86 RBI while Cody Bellinger and Paul Goldschmidt have combined for 224 hits and 106 RBI.

Will Warren gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 6-5 with a 4.44 ERA and 133 strikeouts this season. This will be Warren’s first career game against the Minnesota Twins.

Why the New York Yankees will win

  • The Yankees have won each of their last seven games against AL Central opponents following a home loss.
  • The Twins have lost nine of their last 10 road games after going to extra innings.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against the Twins.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games at Yankee Stadium.
  • The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven games against the Twins.
  • The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against the Twins.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

  • The Twins have won each of their last six games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a home win.
  • The Yankees have lost each of their last six Monday games as favorites.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games.
  • The Twins have won the first inning in each of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Twins have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games.
  • The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games as favorites against American League opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Anthony Volpe has recorded a Double in three of the Yankees’ last four home games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Aaron Judge has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Aaron Judge ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.337) this season.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Trevor Larnach has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ryan Jeffers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances.

Yankees vs Twins Prediction

You’d think it’s only a matter of time before the Yankees get their act together, but it’s hard to back them as the losses keep piling up. However, Matthews has a 5.17 ERA and 1.38 WHIP on the season, and he’s allowed 23 hits and 11 runs in his last 19.1 innings. In 24 road innings, Matthews has a 5.63 ERA and .289 allowed batting average. Warren has been hittable lately, allowing 18 runs in his last 35.1 innings. I’m expecting some runs in this spot. Instead of picking a side, give me the over.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Over 9

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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