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Yankees vs White Sox Prediction 6/16/26 MLB Picks Today

Chicago White Sox (38-32) vs. NY Yankees (43-27)
June 16, 2026 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -149 / Chicago White Sox 123; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Yankees vs White Sox prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 16th at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 43-27 this year after they won two out of three against the Blue Jays by scores of 5-8, 3-1, and 8-3. In game three, New York blew a 2-0 lead in the early innings, but they scored five runs in the ninth to get the win. The Yankees recorded 12 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Caballero, who went 1-5 with one home run and three RBIs. Warren allowed eight hits and two earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Doval picked up the win. Prior to that series, New York swept the Guardians in three games and split two games with the Red Sox. 

This season, New York has a 3.32 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .224 opponent batting average, while they have scored 358 runs with a .242 batting average and a .330 on base percentage. Aaron Judge (OUT) has led the Yankees with 17 home runs and 38 RBIs, while Ben Rice has added 19 home runs and 47 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Gerrit Cole, who is 1-1 with a 2.45 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 22.0 innings pitched this year. 

Chicago White Sox Betting Preview

The Chicago White Sox are 38-32 this season after they won two out of three against the Dodgers by scores of 8-2, 1-7, and 6-4. In game three, Chicago took a 6-1 lead in the sixth inning, but barely hung on for the win. The White Sox recorded eight hits and they committed one error, while they were led by Montgomery, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the game. Hudson opened the game, while Fedde allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 2.2 innings for the win. Prior to that series, Chicago won both games against the Braves, but lost two out of three against the Phillies before that. 

This season, Chicago has a 4.29 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while they have scored 333 runs with a .241 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Munetaka Murakami has led the White Sox with 20 home runs and 41 RBIs, while Colson Montgomery has added 17 home runs and 40 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Davis Martin, who is 9-2 with a 2.41 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 78.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the New York Yankees will win

  • The White Sox have lost each of their last eight road games following a win.
  • The Yankees have won each of their last seven home games against the White Sox.
  • The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in six of their last seven home games against the White Sox.
  • The White Sox have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six Tuesday games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The White Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight games at Yankee Stadium.

Why the Chicago White Sox will win

  • The White Sox have won four of their last five games as underdogs.
  • The Yankees have lost four of their last five games as home favorites following a win.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five home games following a win.
  • The White Sox have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against AL East opponents following a win.
  • The White Sox have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five home night games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Five of the White Sox’s last six night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Four of the last five games between the White Sox and Yankees have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Yankees’ last eight games as favorites.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the White Sox’s last seven games.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Aaron Judge has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit a home run in each of the White Sox’s last three games as underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Miguel Vargas has recorded at least one hit in each of the White Sox’s last 11 road games against opponents that held a winning record.

Yankees vs White Sox Prediction 

New York comes into this series after winning five of their last six games and they have scored at least five runs in three of their last four. The Yankees are 19-12 at home this year, while the White Sox are 14-20 on the road. Chicago has won four of their last five games and they have scored at least six runs in three of those five. The White Sox are starting Martin, who has allowed 0, 6, 1, and 4 earned runs in his last four outings, while Cole has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his four starts this year. Take the Yankees at home here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Yankees ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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