Ian Garry vs Daniel Rodriguez Pick – UFC on ABC 4 Predictions & Odds 5/13/23

Daniel Rodriguez and Ian Garry fight Saturday in UFC on ABC 4 at the Spectrum Center. Rodriguez enters this fight with a 17-3 record and has won 47 percent of his fights by knockout. Garry enters this fight with a 11-0 record and has won 55 percent of his fights by knockout.

Rodriguez has won 8 of his last 10 fights and is coming off a November loss to Neil Magny. Rodriguez is averaging 7.42 significant strikes per minute, with an accuracy percentage of 50 percent. Rodriguez is averaging 0.63 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 50 percent. Rodriguez is coming off a submission loss at UFC Fight Night 214 where he landed 71 total strikes and 61 percent of his significant strikes. It was the first time Rodriguez has been finished in his career, and he hopes to avoid back to back losses for the first time. Rodriguez is now 8-2 under the UFC banner. Rodriguez is a striker at heart who works behind his jab and has a powerful left hand. He’s most effective on his feet, but he can be a bit wild at times and has issues finding his range. A southpaw with a pro boxing background, Rodriguez has 8 career knockouts and 4 career submissions. This will be Rodriguez’s first career fight in North Carolina.

This will be Garry’s fourth fight since 2022 and is coming off a March win over Song Kenan. Garry is averaging 6.79 significant strikes per minute, with an accuracy percentage of 56 percent. Garry is averaging 0.30 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 50 percent. Garry is coming off a knockout win at UFC 285 where he landed 127 total strikes and ate 61 total strikes. Garry now has 6 career knockouts, and he’s 4-0 under the UFC banner. Garry is a well-rounded fighter at 25 years old and comes from a boxing background while having a black belt in Judo. Garry has terrific striking with legit knockout power, his takedown defense is excellent, and his cardio has helped him win 4 career decisions. Garry has all of the tools to be a problem in this division, and the youth is on his side. However, we’ll know more about Garry once he eventually faces adversity in the octagon, as he’s dominated up to this point. This will be Garry’s first career fight in North Carolina.

Rodriguez is far from a pushover, and he has the volume striking that will give him a shot to spring the upset. The problem is Garry has been so flawless up to this point, he’s hard to bet against. As from my write-up, I’m pretty high on Garry and his ability, and I do believe he could eventually make a run at a title. I’m just not trying to step in front of Garry and his ability.

I’ll take Garry by finish to shave down the juice as well.