NBA Finals Pick: San Antonio Spurs vs. Miami Heat - 6/5/14

Miami Heat (54-28) at San Antonio Spurs (62-20)

NBA Basketball: Thursday, June 5, 2014 at 9:00 pm (AT&T Center)

The Line: San Antonio Spurs -3.5 -- Over/Under: 198 See the Latest Odds

TV: ABC

The San Antonio Spurs square off against the Miami Heat in the NBA finals for the second straight season.

Head to head, the Heat are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in San Antonio while the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The Spurs are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games, 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The Heat on the other hand are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, but just 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference.

While it would have been nice to see Kevin Durant and the Oklahoma City Thunder take on Lebron James and the Miami Heat for the right to be crowned NBA champions, I'm glad the San Antonio Spurs made it through once again. Don't get me wrong, the Heat were worthy champions last season, but the Spurs should have wrapped up the series in Game 6, up five points with just 28 seconds remaining. So can San Antonio forget about last season and take out the ultimate prize this time around? I think they can.

In fact, I'm very confident that my wager on the Spurs to win the whole thing at the start of the season is going to be a winner. I see SA doing what they should of done last season and winning in 6 games, which includes a victory tonight. While the Tony Parker injury in a concern, you would expect him to take the court in Game 1 and even if he doesn't, Patty Mills and Cory Joseph are worthy backups. Plus, Manu Ginobili and Boris Diaw can also run the offense, which is a luxury not many teams have.

It also doesn't hurt that the Spurs have been absolutly lights out at home during the playoffs so far, covering the spread in seven straight games at the AT&T center. But more importantly, look what SA did in Game 1 of their three previous series, winning all three by an average of 15 points per contest. On the flipside, Miami has dropped three of their last five away from home.

The energy is going to electric in Game 1 and I see the Spurs pulling away in the third quarter and then holding on to get the cover, but not by much. San Antonio has looked unstoppable at home lately and I don't see any reason for that to change now...

Dan’s Pick: San Antonio -3.5

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