Phoenix Suns (65-26) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (59-33)
July 14, 2021 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Bucks -4; Over/Under: 220.5
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The Phoenix Suns and Milwaukee Bucks meet Wednesday in game 4 of the NBA Finals at the Fiserv Forum. The Suns look for a win to take a commanding 3-1 series lead. The Bucks look for back-to-back victories to even up the series at 2-2.
The Phoenix Suns are averaging 109.4 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 103.3 points on 43.5 percent shooting. Devin Booker is averaging 26.3 points and 4.7 assists while Chris Paul is averaging 19.2 points and 3.6 rebounds. Deandre Ayton is the third double-digit scorer and Mikal Bridges is grabbing 4.2 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 37.5 percent from beyond the arc and 86.1 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 33.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.5 rebounds per game.
The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 110 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 105 points on 44.7 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 29.2 points and 12.9 rebounds while Khris Middleton is averaging 22.8 points and 5.2 assists. Jrue Holiday is the third double-digit scorer and Brook Lopez is grabbing six rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 32.1 percent from beyond the arc and 70.7 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 34.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 49.4 rebounds per game.
The Suns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games overall. The Bucks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The over is 4-0-1 in Suns last 5 overall. The over is 4-0-1 in Bucks last 5 overall. The Suns are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee and 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
The Bucks have played their best basketball these playoffs with their back against the wall and Antetokounmpo is putting together one of the best finals showings in league history. I wouldn’t be shocked if the Bucks won and covered here. However, we’re getting free points with the Suns, the most consistent team throughout these playoffs. The Suns have not only won 73.7 percent of their playoff games outright, but they’ve covered 12 of their last 16 games. The Suns have lost back-to-back games three times since January 28. There’s still value with the Suns and free buckets.