NBA Picks

Heat vs Nuggets Pick – NBA Predictions & Odds 2/13/23

Denver Nuggets (39-18) vs. Miami Heat (32-25)
February 13, 2023 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat -2; Over/Under: +224
(Get latest betting odds)

The Denver Nuggets and Miami Heat meet Monday in NBA action at the Miami-Dade Arena. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 117.1 points on 51 percent shooting and allowing 113 points on 48.1 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 24.7 points and 11.3 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 20.2 points and 4.1 rebounds. Aaron Gordon is the third double-digit scorer and Michael Porter Jr. is grabbing 5.3 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 39.5 percent from beyond the arc and 74.8 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 35.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.6 rebounds per game.

The Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat are averaging 108.6 points on 45.3 percent shooting and allowing 108.4 points on 47.7 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 22 points and 6 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 21.8 points and 10 rebounds. Tyler Herro is the third double-digit scorer and Max Strus is grabbing 3.6 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 33.5 percent from beyond the arc and 82.5 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.4 rebounds per game.

The Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The over is 5-2-1 in Nuggets last 8 overall. The under is 8-3 in Heat last 11 overall. The Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Miami and 24-9 ATS in the last 33 meetings.

Randy’s Free Pick

The Miami Heat continue to have issues offensively, but they’re also squeezing out wins, and they’re also a team that plays to its level of competition. I don’t worry about the Heat much when they’re playing good teams. The Denver Nuggets are possibly without Murray and Gordon, and they lose on the road by an average of 4.3 points. At home, I’ll lay the bucket with the scrappy Heat.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami Heat -2

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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