Miami Heat (15-13) vs. Atlanta Hawks (16-15)
December 28, 2024 3:00 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Hawks -2.5; Over/Under: +225.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Heat and Atlanta Hawks meet Saturday in NBA action at the State Farm Arena. Here’s a Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Pick.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat beat the Nets and Magic, and they play the Rockets, Pelicans and Pacers next. The Miami Heat are averaging 112.8 points on 45.3 percent shooting and allowing 109.8 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 23.8 points and 5.7 rebounds, while Jimmy Butler is averaging 18.5 points and 5.8 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rozier is grabbing 4 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 37.9 percent from beyond the arc and 78.2 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.9 rebounds per game.
Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview
The Atlanta Hawks beat the Timberwolves and Bulls, and they play the Raptors, Nuggets and Lakers next. The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 117.2 points on 46.5 percent shooting and allowing 119.5 points on 47.2 percent shooting. Trae Young is averaging 22 points and 3.8 rebounds, while De’Andre Hunter is averaging 20.3 points and 4.1 rebounds. Jalen Johnson is the third double-digit scorer, and Dyson Daniels is grabbing 5.1 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 35.1 percent from beyond the arc and 78.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 38.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46 rebounds per game.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Heat have won each of their last eight games against Southeast Division opponents following a win.
- The Hawks have lost each of their last eight Saturday games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight home games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last six games against Southeast Division opponents following a win.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Hawks’ last seven home games following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of the Heat’s last six games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.
Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction
The Miami Heat and Atlanta Hawks are two teams that you’re not sure which side is showing up from night to night. The Hawks should have the edge at home given the health situation. The Heat are still down Butler as he’s “sick” and battling trade rumors. Still, the Heat have won 7 of the last 10 games against the Hawks. The Hawks are also 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite. Love the Hawks as underdogs, favorites not so much. Give me the heat and a free bucket.
