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Hawks vs Trail Blazers Prediction 3/1/26 NBA Picks Today
Portland Trailblazers (29-32) vs. Atlanta Hawks (30-31)
March 1, 2026 6:00 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Hawks -5.5; Over/Under: 237.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Portland Trail Blazers and the Atlanta Hawks collide at State Farm Arena on Sunday night. Here’s a Hawks vs. Trail Blazers prediction. This article will include a Hawks vs. Trail Blazers pick.
Portland Trail Blazers Betting Preview
The Portland Trail Blazers have been in decent form lately as they’ve won six of their last 10 games overall, but they will be eager to bounce back here after getting run over by the Hornets in a 109-93 road defeat last night. Jrue Holiday led the team with 25 points on nine of 16 shooting, Jerami Grant added 21 points on nine of 18 shooting, while Tounami Camara chipped in with 12 points but no other player scored more than eight points. As a team, the Trail Blazers shot just 41 percent from the field and 11 of 47 from the 3-point line as they got off to a slow start and scored just 17 points in the first quarter to fall behind early, but they clawed their way back and looked like they could pull off the upset before they leaked 35 points in the fourth quarter to lose by double digits in the end.
Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Atlanta Hawks are slowly heating up again as they’ve won four of their last five games overall and they will be gunning for a fourth straight victory after smashing the lowly Wizards in a 126-96 home win on Thursday. Corey Kispert led the team with 33 points on 11 of 19 shooting off the bench, while CJ McCollum added 25 points and Jonathan Kuminga chipped in with 17 points. As a team, the Hawks shot 46 percent from the field and 13 of 39 from the 3-point line as they got into their groove early and exploded for 76 points in the first half to take a 20-point lead into halftime and they didn’t stop there as they kept their foot on the gas all the way to the final buzzer to secure a third straight blowout win.
Why the Atlanta Hawks will win
- The favorites have won each of the Trail Blazers’ last 13 games.
- The Trail Blazers have lost each of their last nine games as underdogs.
- The favorites have covered the spread in seven of the Hawks’ last eight games.
- The Trail Blazers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four road games against Southeast Division opponents.
Why the Portland Trail Blazers will win
- The Trail Blazers have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Hawks.
- The Hawks have lost five of their last six games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Trail Blazers have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as road underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as home favorites against Northwest Division opponents.
Total Points: Facts
- Each of the Hawks’ last six games has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Trail Blazers’ last five road games against the Hawks following a road loss has gone OVER the total points line.
Atlanta Hawks Player Facts
- Dyson Daniels has recorded 3+ steals in three consecutive appearances—the longest active streak of any player in the league.
- Onyeka Okongwu is one of only six qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 three-pointer, 1.0 steal, and 1.0 block this season.
Portland Trail Blazers Player Facts
- Donovan Clingan ranks 1st in the league for second-chance points (245) this season.
- Vit Krejci ranks 30th amongst qualified players for 3P% (40.1%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Hawks rank 1st in the league for assists per game this season (30.3).
- The Hawks have recorded the largest comeback win from a Q3 deficit this season—they trailed by 18 points @ Suns on November 16.
- The Trail Blazers rank 30th in the league for opponent steals per game this season (11.1).
- The Trail Blazers rank 30th in the league for turnovers per game this season (17.2).
Hawks vs Trail Blazers Prediction
The Trail Blazers are still missing Deni Avdija, Damian Lillard, and Shaedon Sharpe, while the Hawks are keeping an eye on Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Jalen Johnson, who are both questionable. The Trail Blazers have been able to keep their heads above water despite missing a few key players, but they got smashed by the Hornets last night and now have to visit a rising Hawks team that is playing well at the moment. These teams last met on Jan 15 and it was the Trail Blazers who rolled to a 117-101 win at home, but the Hawks are the hotter team and I think they get some revenge against this Trail Blazers squad, who are playing their second game of a back-to-back set.