Bucks vs Celtics Prediction 3/2/26 NBA Picks Today
Boston Celtics (40-20) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (26-33)
March 2, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Bucks +7.5; Over/Under: 215.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Boston Celtics and Milwaukee Bucks meet Monday in NBA action at the Fiserv Forum. Here’s a Bucks vs. Celtics prediction. This article will include a Bucks vs. Celtics pick.
Boston Celtics Betting Preview
The Boston Celtics beat the Nets and the 76ers, and they play the Hornets next. The Celtics have won 15 of their last 20 games.
The Boston Celtics are averaging 115 points on 46.7 percent shooting and allowing 107.4 points on 44.1 percent shooting. Jaylen Brown is averaging 29.1 points and 7.1 rebounds, while Payton Pritchard is averaging 17.3 points and 4.1 rebounds. Derrick White is the third double-digit scorer, and Anfernee Simons is grabbing 2.4 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 36.4 percent from beyond the arc and 79.4 percent from the free throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.1 rebounds per game.
Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Bucks lost to the Knicks and Bulls, and they play the Hawks next. The Bucks have won 8 of their last 12 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 111.9 points on 48 percent shooting and allowing 115.7 points on 46.6 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 28 points and 10 rebounds, while Kevin Porter Jr. is averaging 18 points and 5.2 rebounds. Ryan Rollins is the third double-digit scorer, and Cam Thomas is grabbing 2.3 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 38.9 percent from beyond the arc and 74 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 36.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.2 rebounds per game.
Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win
- The Bucks have won each of their last four games as underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Celtics have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against Central Division opponents.
- The home team has covered the spread in each of the Celtics’ last eight games with both teams on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Celtics have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six road games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
Why the Boston Celtics will win
- The Celtics have won 16 of their last 17 games, with both teams on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Bucks have lost each of their last six games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Celtics have covered the spread in each of their last six games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
Total Points: Facts
- Each of the Celtics’ last eight road games on the second leg of a back-to-back has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the last six games between the Celtics and Bucks has gone UNDER the total points line.
Milwaukee Bucks Player Facts
- Bobby Portis is the only qualified player in the league to be leading their team in rebounds per game (6.4) and three-point shooting percentage (45.1%) this season.
- Myles Turner is one of only three qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.5 threes and 1.5 blocks this season.
Boston Celtics Player Facts
- Payton Pritchard has recorded 12 games with 4+ assists and zero turnovers this season—most of any player in the league.
- Derrick White has recorded 56 games with 3+ assists this season—most of any player in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Bucks rank 30th in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (8.8).
- The Bucks rank 30th in the league for free throws made per game this season (14.4).
- The Celtics rank 1st in the league for opponent points per game this season (107.3).
- The Celtics rank 1st in the league for opponent steals per game this season (6.1).
Bucks vs Celtics Injury Report
The Bucks will be without Taurean Prince. Giannis Antetokounmpo and Thanasis Antetokounmpo are questionable.
The Celtics will be without Jayson Tatum.
Bucks vs Celtics Prediction
The Bucks at home as a dog in a bounce-back spot is appealing, especially if they get Antetokounmpo back. There are rumblings Giannis could return for this game. However, as I said yesterday, when the Celtics are expected to win big, they usually do. The Celtics have covered 6 straight games when favorites of 6 or more points and are 10-4 ATS in those games overall. During that six-game cover streak, the Celtics are winning by an average of 21.5 points. The Celtics beat the Bucks a month ago, 107-79. I’ll continue to lay big numbers with the leprechauns as long as they keep covering.


