Bucks vs Grizzlies Prediction 4/5/26 NBA Picks Today
Memphis Grizzlies (25-52) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (30-47)
April 5, 2026 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Bucks -5.5; Over/Under: 227.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Memphis Grizzlies and Milwaukee Bucks meet Sunday in NBA action at the Fiserv Forum. Here’s a Bucks vs. Grizzlies Prediction. This article will include a Bucks vs. Grizzlies Pick.
Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies lost to the Raptors and Knicks and play the Cavs next. The Grizzlies have lost 16 of their last 18 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 115.2 points on 45.8 percent shooting and allowing 119.2 points on 47.8 percent shooting. Ty Jerome is averaging 19.7 points and 2.8 rebounds, while Ja Morant is averaging 19.5 points and 8.1 assists. Santi Aldama is the third double-digit scorer, and Cedric Coward is grabbing 6.1 rebounds. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 35.3 percent from beyond the arc and 79.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.9 rebounds per game.
Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Bucks lost to the Rockets and Celtics and play the Nets next. The Bucks have lost 11 of their last 14 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 110.4 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 116.9 points on 47.4 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 27.6 points and 9.8 rebounds, while Kevin Porter Jr. is averaging 17.4 points and 5.2 rebounds. Ryan Rollins is the third double-digit scorer, and Bobby Portis is grabbing 6.4 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 38.6 percent from beyond the arc and 73.1 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 37.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.5 rebounds per game.
Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win
- The Grizzlies have lost each of their last 10 road games against Eastern Conference opponents following a loss.
- The Bucks have won each of their last seven home games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Bucks have covered the spread in each of their last six home games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine road games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win
- The Grizzlies have won each of their last eight games against the Bucks.
- The Bucks have lost five of their last six games as home favorites against Western Conference opponents.
- The Grizzlies have covered the spread in each of their last eight games against the Bucks.
- The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games as favorites against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.
Total Points: Facts
- Nine of the Bucks’ last 10 games as home favorites against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Grizzlies’ last seven Sunday road games has gone UNDER the total points line.
Milwaukee Bucks Player Facts
- Myles Turner is one of only two qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.5 threes and 1.5 blocks this season.
- Kyle Kuzma ranks 47th amongst qualified players for FG% (49.0%) this season.
Memphis Grizzlies Player Facts
- Dariq Whitehead leads all Grizzlies players for steals per 36 minutes (4.8) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Bucks rank 30th in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (8.8).
- The Bucks rank 30th in the league for free throw percentage this season (73.3%).
- The Grizzlies are one of only two teams to lose 12+ games when leading after Q3 this season.
- The Grizzlies rank 28th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (12.7).
Bucks vs Grizzlies Injury Report
The Bucks will be without Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kevin Porter, Bobby Portis, and Thanasis Antetokounmpo. Gary Trent Jr. is questionable.
The Grizzlies will be without Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Zach Edey, Ja Morant, Scotty Pippen, Santi Aldama, and Brandon Clarke. Jahmai Mashack is questionable.
Bucks vs Grizzlies Prediction
Another game between two banged up teams that are tanking. As I’ve said in previous articles, I’m going to need points if forced to get involved. I don’t care about home court when the Bucks aren’t trying to win. Also, the Grizzlies have won 8 straight games against the Bucks and 9 of the last 10 meetings overall. The Bucks haven’t beat the Grizzlies since January 2022. Not a game I’d touch personally but give me the free buckets if forced to pick.