Dallas Mavericks (32-30) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (34-25)
March 5, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Bucks -9.5; Over/Under: 225.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Milwaukee Bucks play host to the Dallas Mavericks at the Fiserv Forum on Wednesday night. Here’s a Bucks vs Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Bucks vs Mavericks Pick.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Dallas Mavericks have been in a rut as they’ve lost four of their last five games overall and they will be hoping to avoid a third straight defeat after getting routed by the Kings in a 122-98 loss on Monday. Kai Jones led the team in scoring with 21 points on nine of 10 shooting, Naji Marshall added 18 points while Spencer Dinwiddie and Max Christie scored 10 points each. As a team, the Mavericks shot 45 percent from the field and seven of 26 from the 3-point line as they got next to nothing from their starters. The Mavericks could never recover after getting outscored by 34-16 in the third quarter to trail by 32 points at one stage. No starter finished in double figures in scoring and Kyrie Irving scored just seven points before leaving the game with an ACL injury that will keep him out for an extended period.
Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Milwaukee Bucks have been in red-hot form as they’ve won seven of their past eight games and they will be gunning for a fourth straight victory after sneaking past the Hawks in a 127-121 road win last night. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team with a triple-double of 26 points with 12 rebounds and 10 assists. Damian Lillard added 23 points, Kyle Kuzma tallied 17 points with 10 rebounds, while Kevin Porter Jr provided the spark off the bench with 15 points in just 12 minutes of action. As a team, the Bucks shot 51 percent from the field and 11 of 37 from the 3-point line as they traded shots with the Hawks in a close contest that remained within single digits right till the end. The game could’ve gone either way with the scores tied late in the fourth quarter before the Bucks went on a crucial 6-0 run to slip away and escape with the narrow road win. The Bucks will meet the Magic and Cavs after this game.
Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win
- The Mavericks have lost each of their last 13 games against Central Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Bucks have won each of their last 10 games as home favorites against Southwest Division opponents following a win.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six night games against Bucks teams that held a winning record.
- The Bucks have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as home favorites.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Mavericks have won four of their last five games as underdogs against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Bucks have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Western Conference opponents.
- The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games on the second leg of a back-to-back against Western Conference opponents.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of the Mavericks’ last four games.
Total Points Facts
- Six of the Bucks’ last seven games as home favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
- Eleven of the Mavericks’ last 13 night games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Bucks vs Mavericks Prediction
The Mavericks are severely shorthanded with Caleb Martin, Anthony Davis, Kyrie Irving, Dante Exum, and PJ Washington all ruled out already, while the Bucks are at full strength except for Pat Connaughton who is still out. The Mavericks have been struggling lately and things are about to get much worse as the injury toll rises every game. In contrast, the Bucks have been a team on the rise, and although they weren’t convincing in last night’s win over the Hawks, I think they just have too much firepower to lose against this depleted Mavericks squad.
