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Bucks vs Nuggets Prediction 2/27/25 NBA Picks Today

Denver Nuggets (38-20) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (32-25)
February 27, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Bucks +2.5; Over/Under: 240
(Get latest betting odds)

The Denver Nuggets and Milwaukee Bucks meet Thursday in NBA action at the Fiserv Forum. Here’s a Bucks vs Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Bucks vs Nuggets Pick.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets beat the Pacers, lost to the Lakers, and they play the Pistons, Celtics, and Kings next. The Nuggets have won 10 of their last 11 games and are looking more and more like a legit title contender.


The Denver Nuggets are averaging 121.4 points on 50.9 percent shooting and allowing 116 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 29.2 points and 12.6 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 21.1 points and 3.8 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Christian Braun is grabbing 5.1 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 38.1 percent from beyond the arc and 77.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.9 rebounds per game.

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Bucks beat the Heat, lost to the Rockets, and they play the Mavs, Hawks, and Magic next. The Bucks have scored less than 100 points twice this month, after not doing it all in the month of January.

The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 113.9 points on 47.9 percent shooting and allowing 112.4 points on 45.1 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 31 points and 12 rebounds, while Damian Lillard is averaging 25.5 points and 4.7 rebounds. Kyle Kuzma is the third double-digit scorer and Bobby Portis is grabbing 8.1 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 38.4 percent from beyond the arc and 74.1 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 35.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

  • The Bucks have won seven of their last nine games as home underdogs.
  • The Nuggets have lost three of their last four road games against Central Division opponents.
  • The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games on the first leg of a back-to-back against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Bucks have covered the spread in nine of their last 11 games at Fiserv Forum.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

  • The Bucks have lost each of their last 10 games as underdogs when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The Nuggets have won 10 of their last 11 games.
  • The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 10 games as underdogs when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The Nuggets have covered the spread in each of their last seven road games against the Bucks following a win.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Bucks’ last five home games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Five of the Nuggets’ last six games against Central Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Bucks vs Nuggets Injury Report

The Milwaukee Bucks will be without Pat Connaughton and Liam Robbins.

The Nuggets will be without DaRon Holmes II, Peyton Watson, and Vlatko Cancar.

Bucks vs Nuggets Prediction

The Bucks should like their chances in a big game at home, where 19 of their 33 wins have come this season. However, the Bucks remain too inconsistent to trust game to game. The Nuggets have won nine of their last 10 games and are looking like a squad that should be taken seriously as a legit title contender. The Nuggets have also covered seven of their last nine games. The Nuggets are simply the more trustworthy squad, and we’re not being asked to lay anything crazy. Give me the Nuggets and the small chalk.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Denver Nuggets -2.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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