Bucks vs Rockets Prediction 11/9/25 NBA Picks Today
Houston Rockets (5-3) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (6-3)
November 9, 2025 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Bucks +3.5; Over/Under: 232.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Houston Rockets and Milwaukee Bucks meet Sunday in NBA action at the Fiserv Forum. Here’s a Bucks vs Rockets Prediction. This article will include a Bucks vs Rockets Pick.
Houston Rockets Betting Preview
The Houston Rockets beat the Grizzlies, lost to the Spurs, and they play the Wizards next. The Rockets have won 5 of their last 6 games.
The Houston Rockets are averaging 123 points on 48.9 percent shooting and allowing 113 points on 44.5 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 24 points and 4.8 rebounds, while Alperen Sengun is averaging 22.8 points and 9.8 rebounds. Jabari Smith Jr. is the third double-digit scorer, and Amen Thompson is grabbing 6.5 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 43.3 percent from beyond the arc and 79 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 35.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.8 rebounds per game.
Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Bucks beat the Bulls, lost to the Raptors, and they play the Mavericks next. The Bucks have won 14 of their last 17 regular season games.
The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 120.7 points on 50.2 percent shooting and allowing 118.1 points on 48.5 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 33.4 points and 12.9 rebounds, while Ryan Rollins is averaging 16.7 points and 3.7 rebounds. Kyle Kuzma is the third double-digit scorer and Gary Trent Jr. is grabbing 2 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 39.7 percent from beyond the arc and 70.1 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 34.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.2 rebounds per game.
Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win
- The home team has won each of the last seven games between the Rockets and Bucks.
- The Rockets have lost 13 of their last 14 road games against Central Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven day games following a road loss.
- The Bucks have covered the spread in each of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
Why the Houston Rockets will win
- The Bucks have lost 21 of their last 22 games as underdogs against Southwest Division opponents following a win.
- The Rockets have won 18 of their last 19 games as road favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games as underdogs against Southwest Division opponents.
- The Rockets have covered the spread in seven of their last eight road games after losing as favorites.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Rockets’ last seven road games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of the Bucks’ last eight home games on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Bucks rank 30th in the league for free throw percentage this season (70.1%).
- The Bucks rank 30th for second chance points (106) this season.
- The Rockets rank 1st in the league for three-point percentage this season (43.3%).
- The Rockets rank 30th in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (29.8).
Bucks vs Rockets Injury Report
The Bucks will be without Kevin Porter Jr. and Taurean Prince.
The Rockets will be without Fred VanVleet and Dorian Finney-Smith.
Bucks vs Rockets Prediction
The Rockets have more upside and have shown some of that promise over the last week or so, but I’m still grabbing the points with the Bucks. The Bucks have had great regular season success dating back to the end of last season, and they’ve played better than expected out of the gate. It feels like oddsmakers don’t believe in the Bucks, but they still have one of the best players in the world and are currently a top-10 offense that’s top-five in shooting. Early start times also usually favor the home team, as it’s easier to get going when waking up in your own bed. Give me the points with the Bucks.


