Cavaliers vs Thunder Prediction 1/19/26 NBA Picks Today
Oklahoma City Thunder (35-8) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (24-19)
January 19, 2026 2:30 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Cavaliers +6.5; Over/Under: 234.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Oklahoma City Thunder and Cleveland Cavaliers meet Monday in NBA action at the Rocket Arena. Here’s a Cavaliers vs Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Cavaliers vs Thunder Pick.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Rockets, lost to the Heat, and then play the Bucks next. The Thunder have won 39 of their last 47 regular season games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 121.4 points on 8.9 percent shooting and allowing 108.4 points on 43.7 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.9 points and 6.4 assists, while Chet Holmgren is averaging 18.1 points and 8.3 rebounds. Jalen Williams is the third double-digit scorer and Ajay Mitchell is grabbing 3.4 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 82.6 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 37.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.9 rebounds per game.
Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Preview
The Cleveland Cavaliers beat the 76ers, lost to the Jazz, and they play the Hornets next. The Cavs have won 7 of their last 10 games.
The Cleveland Cavaliers are averaging 120.1 points on 47.2 percent shooting and allowing 117.5 points on 46.6 percent shooting. Donovan Mitchell is averaging 29.7 points and 5.6 assists, while Darius Garland is averaging 18 points and 6.9 assists. Evan Mobley is the third double-digit scorer and De’Andre Hunter is grabbing 4.3 rebounds. The Cleveland Cavaliers are shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc and 78.2 percent from the free throw line. The Cleveland Cavaliers are allowing 38.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.4 rebounds per game.
Why the Cleveland Cavaliers will win
- The Cavaliers have won each of their last seven day games against Western Conference opponents.
- The Thunder have lost three of their last four games as favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Cavaliers have covered the spread in each of their last 11 Monday games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last 10 road games following a loss.
- The Cavaliers have lost seven of their last eight games against Thunder teams that held a winning record.
- The Cavaliers have failed to cover the spread in 13 of their last 14 home games following a road win.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last seven Monday games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Thunder’s last six games as favorites following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Cavaliers’ last six Monday day games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Cleveland Cavaliers Player Facts
- Donovan Mitchell has recorded 9+ assists in two consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
- Evan Mobley has recorded 4+ blocks in two consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has recorded 41 games with 3+ assists this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
- Chet Holmgren has recorded 3+ blocks in five consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cavaliers rank 30th in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (38.3%).
- The Cavaliers rank 1st in the league for Q4 points per game this season (30.9).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent points per game this season (108.0).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for point differential per game this season (+13.0).
Cavaliers vs Thunder Injury Report
The Cavs will be without Max Strus, Sam Merrill, and Darius Garland.
The Thunder will be without Thomas Sorber, Jalen Williams, Nikola Topic, and Isaiah Hartenstein.
Cavaliers vs Thunder Prediction
We’ve been fading the Cavs all season long, as they’re 14-29 ATS on the season, which is the worst in the NBA. The Cavs should be underdogs. However, the Thunder aren’t the cash cows they’ve been the past two seasons at 21-22 ATS on the season. OKC has lost 5 times on the road and won’t have Jalen Williams for this one.
Also, while the Cavs aren’t covering numbers, they’re playing their best ball right now in terms of wins and losses. Mitchell also still believes in this group and plays with an edge in big spots. Early start, statement game to improve the confidence of the Cavaliers. This feels like a spot where the Cavs bring their best effort in hopes of proving this group isn’t to be written off just yet. I’ll take a shot with the points.

