Celtics vs 76ers Prediction 4/28/26 NBA Picks Today

The Philadelphia 76ers and Boston Celtics meet Tuesday in NBA Game 5 at the TD Garden. Here’s a Celtics vs. 76ers Prediction. This article will include a Celtics vs. 76ers Pick.

Philadelphia 76ers Betting Preview

The Philadelphia 76ers need a win to save their season and force a game 6 on Thursday. The 76ers have won 8 of their last 15 games.

The Philadelphia 76ers are averaging 99.5 points on 42.9 percent shooting and allowing 114 points on 45.5 percent shooting. Joel Embiid is averaging 26 points and 6 assists, while Tyrese Maxey is averaging 25.8 points and 2.8 rebounds. Paul George is the third double-digit scorer, and VJ Edgecombe is grabbing 6.8 rebounds. The Philadelphia 76ers are shooting 34.6 percent from beyond the arc and 75.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Philadelphia 76ers are allowing 37.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37.3 rebounds per game. Check out another game tonight between the Spurs and Trail Blazers. 

Boston Celtics Betting Preview

The Boston Celtics look for a win and make the second round for a fifth straight season. The Celtics have won 34 of their last 46 games.

The Boston Celtics are averaging 114 points on 45.5 percent shooting and allowing 99.5 points on 42.9 percent shooting. Jaylen Brown is averaging 26.8 points and 6.3 rebounds, while Jayson Tatum is averaging 24.8 points and 9.3 rebounds. Payton Pritchard is the third double-digit scorer, and Neemias Queta is grabbing 5.8 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 37.6 percent from beyond the arc and 78.8 percent from the free throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 34.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Boston Celtics will win

• The Celtics have won each of their last six Game 5s of a playoff series.
• The 76ers have lost seven of their last eight games against Celtics teams that held a winning record.
• The Celtics have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games.
• The 76ers have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five road games.

Why the Philadelphia 76ers will win

• The 76ers have won each of their last six road games against Atlantic Division opponents following a loss.
• The Celtics have lost three of their last five playoff games as favorites following a win.
• The 76ers have covered the spread in each of their last six road games against Atlantic Division opponents following a loss.
• The Celtics have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five night games at TD Garden following a road win.

Total Points: Facts

• Each of the Celtics’ last nine home games against Eastern Conference opponents has gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the 76ers’ last six games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.

Boston Celtics Player Facts

• The Celtics are allowing just 101.9 points per 48 minutes while Neemias Queta is on the floor this season—the lowest mark of any qualified player in the league.
• Jaylen Brown ranks 1st in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for points per game (28.7) this season.

Philadelphia 76ers Player Facts

• Tyrese Maxey ranks 1st in the league for fast break points (382) this season.
• Kelly Oubre Jr. has recorded 3+ steals in three consecutive appearances—the equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Celtics rank 1st in the league for opponent points per game this season (107.2).
• The Celtics rank 1st in the league for opponent steals per game this season (6.2).
• The 76ers rank 29th in the league for assists per game this season (24.6).
• The 76ers rank 29th in the league for Q3 points per game this season (27.3).

Celtics vs 76ers Injury Report

Joel Embiid is probable for the 76ers despite appendectomy surgery recovery. Tyrese Maxey is probable despite a finger issue.

The Celtics don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

Celtics vs 76ers Prediction

After seeing what the Celtics did to the 76ers in game 4, it’s hard to follow that up and give Philly a serious look. The 76ers are just outgunned and I’m not sure Embiid makes this team any better. Embiid is 3-13 SU against the Celtics in playoff games for his career.

Also, as I’ve said before, when the Celtics are expected to win big, they usually do. Since January 30, the Celtics are 15-8 ATS when they are favorites of 5 or more points. Since January 1, the Celtics are 12-4 ATS as a double-digit favorite. The 76ers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a double-digit underdog. Maybe the Celtics miss a million threes like game 2 and the 76ers hang around. There’s just too much data leaning toward the Celtics blasting the doors off again. Give me the leprechauns in a blow out.