Celtics vs Bucks Prediction 2/1/26 NBA Picks Today
Milwaukee Bucks (18-28) vs. Boston Celtics (30-18)
February 1, 2026 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Celtics -13.5; Over/Under: 217.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Milwaukee Bucks and Boston Celtics meet Sunday in NBA action at the TD Garden. Here’s a Celtics vs Bucks Prediction. This article will include a Celtics vs Bucks Pick.
Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Bucks lost to the 76ers and Wizards, and they play the Bulls next. The Bucks have lost 8 of their last 10 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 111.9 points on 48.1 percent shooting and allowing 115.5 points on 46.7 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 28 points and 10 rebounds, while Kevin Porter Jr. is averaging 16.8 points and 5 rebounds. Ryan Rollins is the third double-digit scorer and Bobby Portis is grabbing 6.5 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 39.2 percent from beyond the arc and 73.4 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 36.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.6 rebounds per game.
Boston Celtics Betting Preview
The Boston Celtics beat the Kings, lost to the Hawks, and they play the Mavs next. The Celtics have won 22 of their last 32 games.
The Boston Celtics are averaging 116.4 points on 47 percent shooting and allowing 110.1 points on 44.8 percent shooting. Jaylen Brown is averaging 29.4 points and 6.8 rebounds, while Derrick White is averaging 17.4 points and 4.6 rebounds. Payton Pritchard is the third double-digit scorer and Anfernee Simons is grabbing 2.4 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 79.4 percent from the free throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 36.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.9 rebounds per game.
Why the Boston Celtics will win
- The Celtics have won each of their last 15 day games at TD Garden.
- The Bucks have lost each of their last 10 games as road underdogs after losing as favorites.
- The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Celtics have covered the spread in four of their last five games against Bucks teams that held a losing record.
Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win
- The Bucks have won five of their last six games as underdogs following a road loss.
- The Celtics have lost three of their last four games as home favorites following a home win.
- The Celtics have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games as home favorites following a home win.
- The Bucks have covered the spread in five of their last six games as underdogs following a road loss.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Bucks’ last seven games as underdogs following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Celtics’ last six home games against Central Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Boston Celtics Player Facts
- Payton Pritchard has recorded 10 games with 4+ assists and zero turnovers this season – most of any player in the league.
- Derrick White is the only qualified player in the league to be leading their team in blocks per game (1.5) and free-throw percentage (89.0%) this season.
Milwaukee Bucks Player Facts
- Bobby Portis is one of only two qualified players in the league to be leading their team in rebounds per game (6.6) and three-point shooting percentage (45.6%) this season.
- Myles Turner is one of only three qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.5 threes and 1.5 blocks this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Celtics rank 1st in the league for opponent steals per game this season (5.9).
- The Celtics rank 1st in the league for turnovers per game this season (12.0).
- The Bucks rank 30th in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (8.5).
- The Bucks rank 30th in the league for free throw percentage this season (73.4%).
Celtics vs Bucks Injury Report
The Celtics will be without Jayson Tatum.
The Bucks will be without Taurean Prince, Kevin Porter Jr., and Giannis Antetokounmpo.
Celtics vs Bucks Prediction
This is a thick line, especially for an early start, which usually leads to funky play. However, the Bucks are 2-8 SU and ATS in their last 10 games, and I don’t see things improving without Giannis. The Celtics are a profitable 26-21-1 ATS on the season, and they’re 7-2 ATS as a double-digit favorite since November 5. I have no choice but to lay the points with the Celtics at home. The Bucks are going nowhere fast in their current form.