Celtics vs Hawks Prediction 1/28/26 NBA Picks Today
Atlanta Hawks (23-25) vs. Boston Celtics (29-17)
January 28, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Celtics -6.5; Over/Under: 230.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Atlanta Hawks and Boston Celtics meet Wednesday in NBA action at the TD Garden. Here’s a Celtics vs Hawks Prediction. This article will include a Celtics vs Hawks Pick.
Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview
The Atlanta Hawks beat the Pacers and Suns, and they play the Rockets next. The Hawks have lost 17 of their last 27 games.
The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 117.5 points on 47.5 percent shooting and allowing 118.7 points on 47.7 percent shooting. Jalen Johnson is averaging 23.2 points and 10.5 rebounds, while Nickeil Alexander-Walker is averaging 20.3 points and 3.5 rebounds. CJ McCollum is the third double-digit scorer, and Kirstaps Porzingis is grabbing 5.1 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 77.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.1 rebounds per game.
Boston Celtics Betting Preview
The Boston Celtics beat the Trail Blazers, lost to the Bulls, and they play the Kings next. The Celtics have won 21 of their last 30 games.
The Boston Celtics are averaging 116.9 points on 47 percent shooting and allowing 110.3 points on 44.7 percent shooting. Jaylen Brown is averaging 29.8 points and 6.8 rebounds, while Derrick White is averaging 17.6 points and 4.7 rebounds. Payton Pritchard is the third double-digit scorer and Anfernee Simons is grabbing 2.5 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 79.8 percent from the free throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 36.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.
Why the Boston Celtics will win
- The Celtics have won each of their last nine home games against Southeast Division opponents.
- The Hawks have lost seven of their last eight games at TD Garden following a win.
- The Celtics have covered the spread in each of their last eight games as favorites against Southeast Division opponents.
- The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last 10 night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
Why the Atlanta Hawks will win
- The Hawks have won each of their last four games as road underdogs on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Celtics have lost three of their last four night games at TD Garden following a home win.
- The Celtics have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 games as home favorites against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Hawks have covered the spread in eight of their last nine road games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Celtics’ last five home games against Southeast Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Hawks’ last three games against the Celtics following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
Boston Celtics Player Facts
- Payton Pritchard has recorded 10 games with 4+ assists and zero turnovers this season – most of any player in the league.
- Derrick White is the only qualified player in the league to be leading their team in blocks per game (1.5) and free-throw percentage (89.0%) this season.
Atlanta Hawks Player Facts
- Luke Kennard ranks 1st amongst qualified players for 3P% (49.3%) this season.
- Jalen Johnson is the only qualified player in the league averaging at least 20.0 points, 10.0 rebounds and 5.0 assists this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Celtics rank 1st in the league for opponent steals per game this season (5.8).
- The Celtics rank 1st in the league for turnovers per game this season (12.1).
- The Hawks rank 1st in the league for assists per game this season (31.1).
- The Hawks have recorded the largest comeback win from a Q3 deficit this season – trailed by 18 points @ Suns on November 16.
Celtics vs Hawks Injury Report
The Celtics will be without Jayson Tatum. Neemias Queta is doubtful. Luka Garza is questionable.
The Hawks will be without N’Faly Dante, Zaccharie Risacher, and Kristaps Porzingis.
Celtics vs Hawks Prediction
The Celtics should be favored at home for obvious reasons, and they smoked the Hawks on the road just 11 days ago. However, the Hawks are putting together a strong week with 3 straight wins and covers, and they’re on the road where they have 14 wins. The Hawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games when underdogs of 5 or more points. The Hawks have outright won their last 2 games in such a role. The Hawks can hang in this spot. Give me the points.

