Celtics vs Suns Prediction 3/16/26 NBA Picks Today

The Phoenix Suns and Boston Celtics meet Monday in NBA action at the TD Garden. Here’s a Celtics vs. Suns prediction. This article will include a Celtics vs. Suns pick.

Phoenix Suns Betting Preview

The Phoenix Suns beat the Pacers, lost to the Raptors, and play the Timberwolves next. The Suns have won 6 of their last 8 games.

The Phoenix Suns are averaging 112.6 points on 45.5 percent shooting and allowing 111.2 points on 47 percent shooting. Devin Booker is averaging 25.4 points and 4 rebounds, while Dillon Brooks is averaging 20.9 points and 3.7 rebounds. Jaylen Green is the third double-digit scorer, and Grayson Allen is grabbing 3 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 36.3 percent from beyond the arc and 78.7 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 34.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.1 rebounds per game.

Boston Celtics Betting Preview

The Boston Celtics lost to the Thunder, beat the Wizards, and play the Warriors next. The Celtics have won 19 of their last 27 games.

The Boston Celtics are averaging 116 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 108.6 points on 44.1 percent shooting. Jaylen Brown is averaging 28.2 points and 7.1 rebounds, while Jayson Tatum is averaging 19.8 points and 8.5 rebounds. Derrick White is the third double-digit scorer, and Payton Pritchard is grabbing 4.1 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 36.1 percent from beyond the arc and 80 percent from the free throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.1 rebounds per game.

Why the Boston Celtics will win

• The Celtics have won each of their last 12 games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Suns have lost each of their last 12 games on the road as underdogs on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Celtics have covered the spread in each of their last 10 night games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Suns have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.

Why the Phoenix Suns will win

• The Suns have won seven of their last eight games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Celtics have lost two of their last three games as home favorites following a win.
• The Celtics have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as home favorites against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Suns have covered the spread in eight of their last nine road games following a loss.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Celtics’ last seven games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Suns’ last four road games following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.

Boston Celtics Player Facts

• Jayson Tatum has recorded the equal-most field goal attempts without being blocked (75) of any player in the league this season.
• The Celtics are allowing just 101.9 points per 48 minutes while Neemias Queta is on the floor this season—the lowest mark of any qualified player in the league.

Phoenix Suns Player Facts

• Grayson Allen ranks 7th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.0) this season.
• Devin Booker ranks 9th amongst qualified players for points per 36 minutes (27.4) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Celtics rank 1st in the league for opponent points per game this season (107.0).
• The Celtics rank 1st in the league for opponent steals per game this season (6.1).
• The Suns have suffered the largest comeback loss when leading through Q3 this season—led by 18 points vs. the Hawks on November 16.
• The Suns rank 30th for points in the paint (2876) this season.

Celtics vs Suns Injury Report

The Celtics will be without Nikola Vucevic.

The Suns will be without Mark Williams and Dillon Brooks.

Celtics vs Suns Prediction

The Celtics are piling up the wins and covers and Tatum is back so it’s a love fest from oddsmakers all of a sudden. The problem is this line is inflated. As good as the Celtics have been, the Suns have more than held their own and they’re 39-25-3 ATS on the season. Only the Heat has been better at covering numbers. If the Celtics are going to be getting this much respect moving forward, especially against good teams, there’s going to be value in betting against them. I’ll gladly grab the points with the Suns.