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Celtics vs Warriors Prediction 3/18/26 NBA Picks Today

Golden State Warriors (33-35) vs. Boston Celtics (45-23)
March 18, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Celtics -12.5; Over/Under: 215.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Golden State Warriors and Boston Celtics meet Wednesday in NBA action at the TD Garden. Here’s a Celtics vs Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Celtics vs. Warriors pick.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Golden State Warriors lost to the Knicks, beat the Wizards, and will play the Pistons next. The Warriors have lost 15 of their last 21 games.

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 115.1 points on 45.8 percent shooting and allowing 114.4 points on 47.3 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 27.2 points and 4.8 assists, while Brandin Podziemski averages 12 points and 3.5 assists. De’Anthony Melton is the third double-digit scorer, and Moses Moody is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 35.8 percent from beyond the arc and 80.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 35.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.9 rebounds per game.

Boston Celtics Betting Preview

The Boston Celtics beat the Wizards and Suns and play the Grizzlies next. The Celtics have won 20 of their last 28 games.

The Boston Celtics are averaging 116 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 108.6 points on 44.1 percent shooting. Jaylen Brown is averaging 28.2 points and 7.1 rebounds, while Jayson Tatum is averaging 19.8 points and 8.5 rebounds. Derrick White is the third double-digit scorer, and Payton Pritchard is grabbing 4.1 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 36.1 percent from beyond the arc and 80 percent from the free throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.1 rebounds per game.

Why the Boston Celtics will win

  • The Celtics have won each of their last 13 games against Pacific Division opponents.
  • The Warriors have lost each of their last eight games following a win.
  • The Celtics have covered the spread in each of their last seven night games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games following a win.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

  • The Warriors have won each of their last two games on the road as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents following a win.
  • The Celtics have lost four of their last eight games as home favorites following a win.
  • The road team has covered the spread in nine of the Warriors’ last 10 games.
  • The Celtics have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight home games against Western Conference opponents following a win.

Total Points Facts

  • Ten of the Warriors’ last 11 games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Seven of the Celtics’ last eight home games following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Boston Celtics Player Facts

  • Derrick White has recorded 63 games with 3+ assists this season—the most of any player in the league.
  • The Celtics are allowing just 102.1 points per 48 minutes while Neemias Queta is on the floor this season—the lowest mark of any qualified player in the league.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

  • Will Richard ranks 7th amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.2) this season.
  • Draymond Green is one of only seven qualified players in the league to be leading their team in rebounds (5.6) and assists (5.3) per game this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Celtics rank 1st in the league for opponent points per game this season (107.1).
  • The Celtics rank 1st in the league for opponent steals per game this season (6.1).
  • The Warriors rank 30th in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (80.7%).
  • The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (16.2).

Celtics vs Warriors Injury Report

The Celtics will be without Nikola Vucevic.

The Warriors will be without Jimmy Butler, Stephen Curry, Seth Curry, Al Horford, and Moses Moody. LJ Cryer and Quinten Post are questionable.

Celtics vs Warriors Prediction

The Warriors are too banged up to be taken seriously against good teams. I’ve been saying that for weeks. The Celtics keep winning games and are 39-28-1 ATS on the season. The Celtics are one of the best cover teams in the league. The Warriors have also struggled on the road all year, losing 20 games away from home. The Celtics have won the last two games against the Warriors and both were blowouts. The Celtics are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a double-digit favorite. When the Celtics are supposed to mop the floor with teams, they do. I’ll lay out the points.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Boston Celtics -12.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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