Denver Nuggets (27-13) vs. Dallas Mavericks (15-25)
January 14, 2026 9:30 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Mavericks +1; Over/Under:
(Get latest betting odds)
The Denver Nuggets pay a visit to the Dallas Mavericks at the American Airlines Center on Wednesday night.
Here’s a Mavericks vs Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Mavericks vs Nuggets Pick.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
The Denver Nuggets are starting to heat up again, as they’ve won four of their last five games overall. They will be aiming for a third straight victory after sneaking past the slumping Pelicans in a 122-116 road win last night. Jamal Murray led the team with 35 points and nine assists on 11 of 19 shooting, Peyton Watson added 31 points with seven rebounds and five assists on 11 of 16 shooting while Tim Hardaway Jr and Jamal Murray scored 18 and 16 points respectively. As a team, the Nuggets shot 49 percent from the field and 14 of 35 from the 3-point line as they struggled to keep pace with the Pelicans early on. They fell behind by 11 points in the third quarter, but they chipped away at the deficit. With the scores tied, the Nuggets went on a crucial 6-0 run in the final 39.2 seconds to escape with the narrow road win.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks have been struggling lately as they’ve lost six of their last nine games overall, but they will be looking to build some momentum in this one after beating the Nets by 113-105 on Monday. Cooper Flagg led the team with 27 points, five rebounds and five assists on 10 of 17 shooting, Naji Marshall added 22 points with nine assists on nine of 14 shooting while Klay Thompson drained six 3-pointers to finish with 18 points off the bench. As a team, the Mavericks shot 51 percent from the field and 15 of 34 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 32 points in the first quarter to take an early 12-point lead. This proved to be enough to keep them in front right till the end against a misfiring Nets squad who shot just nine of 37 from the 3-point line.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Nuggets have lost each of their last six games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Mavericks.
- The home team has won 16 of the Mavericks’ last 18 games.
- The home team has covered the spread in 17 of the Mavericks’ last 18 games.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Mavericks.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The Mavericks have lost each of their six previous games on the first leg of a back-to-back against the Nuggets.
- The Nuggets have won 11 of their last 12 road games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games on the first leg of a back-to-back against Western Conference opponents.
- The Nuggets have covered the spread in each of their last four road games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Mavericks’ last six games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Nuggets’ last six road games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.
Dallas Mavericks Player Facts
- P.J. Washington is one of only five qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals and 1.0 blocks this season.
- Daniel Gafford ranks 9th amongst qualified players for blocks per 36 minutes (2.3) this season.
Denver Nuggets Player Facts
- Peyton Watson is one of only five qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals and 1.0 blocks this season.
- Jamal Murray is one of only five players in the league to have recorded 17+ assists in a game this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mavericks rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (32.9%).
- The Mavericks rank 29th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (12.6).
- The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for points per game this season (122.7).
- The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (12.3).
Mavericks vs Nuggets Prediction
The Nuggets are still missing Christian Braun, Jonas Valanciunas, Nikola Jokic and Cameron Johnson, while the Mavericks have ruled out Anthony Davis, Max Christie, Dereck Lively II and Kyrie Irving with PJ Washington and Brandon Williams listed as questionable. The Nuggets are starting to get on a roll despite missing Jokic, and they would’ve taken plenty of confidence from their hard fought win over the Pelicans last night. In contrast, the Mavericks were absolutely ice-cold before they took down the slumping Nets on Monday, so I am a little surprised that the line is basically at a pick ’em. With that being said, I like what the Nuggets are doing at the moment and I think this will be another win for them.
