Golden State Warriors (33-38) vs. Dallas Mavericks (23-48)
March 23, 2026 9:30 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Mavericks +2.5; Over/Under: 231.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Golden State Warriors invade the American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Monday night. Here’s a Mavericks vs. Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Mavericks vs. Warriors Pick.
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
The Golden State Warriors have been in a slump as they’ve lost eight of their last nine games overall and they will be hoping to arrest a three-game slide after getting thrashed by the Hawks in a 126-110 road defeat on Saturday. De’Anthony Melton led the team with 20 points, Nate Williams added 19 points on eight of nine shooting off the bench, while Pat Spencer chipped in with 18 points on eight of 14 shooting. As a team, the Warriors shot 50 percent from the field and 15 of 42 from the 3-point line as they got off to a strong start to keep pace with the Hawks in a closely contested first half, but all their hard work went to waste in the third quarter, where the Hawks went on a 36-12 run to pull away.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks have been in a terrible slump as they’ve lost 12 of their last 14 games overall and they will be looking to avoid a fourth straight defeat after falling short to the Clippers in a 138-131 overtime loss on Saturday. Naji Marshall led the team with 28 points on 11 of 23 shooting, PJ Washington added 21 points on seven of 14 shooting, while Cooper Flagg tallied 18 points with 10 rebounds, eight assists and four blocks. As a team, the Mavericks shot 47 percent from the field and 13 of 34 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 42 points in the first quarter to take an early 12-point lead, but they allowed the Clippers back into the contest and it cost them in the overtime period, where the Clippers opened with an 11-4 run to slip away at the end.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Mavericks have won each of their eight previous games against the Warriors after coming off overtime.
- The Warriors have lost eight of their last nine games.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last seven home games against the Warriors.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games at American Airlines Center.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The Mavericks have lost each of their last 11 home games.
- The Warriors have won seven of their last eight games against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.
- The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Warriors’ last four games.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games against Pacific Division opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Warriors’ last seven games as favorites following a road loss has gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of the Mavericks’ last six home games against Pacific Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Dallas Mavericks Player Facts
- Daniel Gafford is one of only two players to have made 10+ field goals without a miss in a game this season.
- Klay Thompson ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.8) this season.
Golden State Warriors Player Facts
- Draymond Green is one of only seven qualified players in the league to be leading their team in rebounds (5.6) and assists (5.3) per game this season.
- Will Richard ranks 8th amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.2) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for opponent field goals made per game this season (44.7).
- The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (94.1).
- The Warriors rank 30th in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (80.7%).
- The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (45.0).
Mavericks vs Warriors Prediction
The Warriors are still missing Al Horford, Stephen Curry, Seth Curry and Quentin Post, with Moses Moody listed as questionable, while the Mavericks have ruled out Kyrie Irving and Brandon Williams with Caleb Martin listed as questionable. The Warriors haven’t been able to keep their heads above water with all the injuries they’ve had to deal with and you could say the same about the Mavericks, who haven’t been healthy all season. These teams have already clashed twice this season, with each team winning at home and I think that trend continues here as the Mavericks should be able to get the win at home behind a big game from Flagg.
