Memphis Grizzlies (21-36) vs. Dallas Mavericks (21-36)
February 27, 2026 8:30 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Mavericks -6.5; Over/Under: 237.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Memphis Grizzlies and the Dallas Mavericks collide at the American Airlines Center on Friday night. Here’s a Mavericks vs. Grizzlies prediction. This article will include a Mavericks vs. Grizzlies pick.
Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies have been in a major slump as they’ve lost 13 of their last 16 games overall and they will be hoping to avoid a fourth straight defeat after getting trampled by the Warriors in a 133-112 home defeat on Wednesday. GG Jackson led the team with 24 points, eight rebounds, and two blocks on eight of 12 shooting; Ty Jerome added 22 points with five assists, while Javon Small chipped in with 16 points, six rebounds, and four assists. As a team, the Grizzlies shot 49 percent from the field and 17 of 41 from the 3-point line but they were always fighting an uphill battle in this one after getting outscored by 40-22 in a disastrous second quarter. Oliver-Maxence Prosper had a quiet game of just three points on one of five shots while Walter Clayton Jr. shot just one of eight from the field for his four points.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks were starting to move on from their ugly 10-game losing streak with a couple wins over the Pacers and the Nets before they got stopped in their tracks by the lowly Kings in a 130-121 loss last night. Naji Marshall led the team with 36 points, 10 rebounds, and six assists on 14 of 23 shooting; Khris Middleton added 17 points with five rebounds and four assists, while Brandon Williams chipped in with 16 points off the bench. As a team, the Mavericks shot 56 percent from the field and 10 of 23 from the 3-point line, but they allowed the Kings to get off to a flyer and trailed by as many as 18 points after allowing 42 points in the first quarter.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Grizzlies have lost each of their last seven road games following a loss.
- The Mavericks have won seven of their last eight home games against Western Conference opponents after losing as favorites.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three games.
Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win
- The Mavericks have lost each of their last nine games against Western Conference opponents.
- The Grizzlies have won each of their last six games against the Mavericks.
- The Grizzlies have covered the spread in each of their last six games against the Mavericks.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as favorites against Southwest Division opponents.
Total Points: Facts
- Each of the Mavericks’ last six home games against the Grizzlies has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Ten of the Grizzlies’ last 11 games at American Airlines Center have gone UNDER the total points line.
Dallas Mavericks Player Facts
- Klay Thompson ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.7) this season.
- Max Christie ranks 15th amongst qualified players for 3P% (42.2%) this season.
Memphis Grizzlies Player Facts
- Cam Spencer ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FT% (93.3%) this season.
- Scotty Pippen Jr. leads all Grizzlies players for steals per 36 minutes (4.1) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mavericks rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (34.2%).
- The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (94.1).
- The Grizzlies are one of only two teams to record five or more losses when leading by a margin of 10+ points at HT this season.
- The Grizzlies rank 28th in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (14.3).
Mavericks vs Grizzlies Prediction
The Grizzlies are still missing Ja Morant, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cedric Coward, Brandon Clarke, and Santi Aldama, while the Mavericks have ruled out Cooper Flagg, Kyrie Irving, PJ Washington, and Daniel Gafford again. These two squads are pretty evenly matched if you look at their respective records and injury reports, but the Grizzlies have already beaten the Mavericks twice this season, which makes them tempting as the underdogs here. However, the Mavericks were starting to play some decent basketball before last night’s defeat but I think they can bounce right back with a win and cover against this severely depleted Grizzlies team.
