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Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Prediction 3-7-24 Picks

Miami Heat (35-26) vs. Dallas Mavericks (34-28)
March 7, 2024 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Mavericks -5; Over/Under: +229
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Heat look for a win after winning 9 of their last 11 games. The Dallas Mavericks need a win after losing 5 of their last 6 games. Here’s a Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks prediction.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat recently beat the Jazz and Pistons while losing to the Nuggets. The Miami Heat are averaging 110.8 points on 46.5 percent shooting and allowing 109.9 points on 47 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 21.9 points and 5.5 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 20.8 points and 5.3 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rozier is grabbing 4.1 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 37.5 percent from beyond the arc and 81.9 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks lost to the 76ers, Celtics and Pacers during this streak. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 118.7 points on 48 percent shooting and allowing 118.3 points on 48.4 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 34.6 points and 9.8 assists, while Kyrie Irving is averaging 25.7 points and 5.1 rebounds. Tim Hardaway Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and PJ Washington is grabbing 5.4 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 37.3 percent from beyond the arc and 75.8 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 37.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.2 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks Team Facts

  • The Mavericks have won each of their last six games against Southeast Division opponents.
  • The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as home favorites against Southeast Division opponents.
  • Eight of the Mavericks’ last nine home games following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.

Miami Heat Team Facts

  • The Heat have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against the Mavericks.
  • The road team has covered the spread in each of the Heat’s last eight games.
  • Each of the Heat’s last six night games against the Mavericks following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks prediction

The Dallas Mavericks are at home and don’t have a single player on their injury report with Luka listed as probable, so it’s fair for them to be favored. However, the Mavs have been a mess over the last two weeks, with losses in 5 of their last 6 games. The Mavs defense has allowed 120 or more points i n4 straight games. Meanwhile, the Heat are doing that thing again where they play their best ball once March hits the calendar. The Heat have won and covered 8 of their last 10 games. We’re getting the hotter team and free points. Hard to turn down the Heat in the underdog role.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami Heat +5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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