Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 5-28-24 Picks

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Dallas Mavericks meet Tuesday in Game 4 of the NBA Western Conference Finals at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves have lost 6 of their last 8 games and hope to force a game 5 on Thursday. The Timberwolves are 5-2 SU on the road in these NBA playoffs. The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 108 points on 46.7 percent shooting and allowing 102.1 points on 46.8 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 27.4 points and 6.6 rebounds, while Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 18 points and 2.8 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer and Rudy Gobert is grabbing 10.2 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc and 78.3 percent from the free throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.7 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks have won 7 of their last 8 games and will make the NBA Finals for the first time since 2010-11 with a win here. The Mavs are 5-2 SU at home in these NBA playoffs. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 107.4 points on 46.9 percent shooting and allowing 103.9 points on 44.1 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 28.3 points and 9 assists, while Kyrie Irving is averaging 22.4 points and 4 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer and Derrick Jones Jr. is grabbing 3.7 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 72 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 35.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.3 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report

The Timberwolves will continue to be without Jaylen Clark, who hasn’t played since November due to an Achilles injury. The Dallas Mavericks will be without Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Maxi Kleber and Greg Brown III. Dereck Lively II is questionable with a neck injury he suffered in the first half of game 3.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Mavericks have won each of their six previous playoff games against the Timberwolves.
• The Timberwolves have lost 12 of their last 13 playoff road games following a loss.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games against Southwest Division opponents.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in five of their last six Western Conference Finals games against Northwest Division opponents.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

• Luka Doncic ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points per game (33.9) this season.
• Daniel Gafford ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FG% (72.5%) this season.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

• Rudy Gobert ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (12.9) this season.
• Mike Conley ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for 3P% (44.2%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mavericks rank 2nd in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (4.0).
• The Mavericks rank 2nd in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (39.5).
• The Timberwolves rank 1st in the league for opponent points per game this season (106.5).
• The Timberwolves rank 1st in the league for opponent field goal percentage this season (45.0%).

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

The Minnesota Timberwolves have to feel like they’ve missed opportunities and probably could be in a better position. Despite the Timberwolves down 0-3 in the series, the games are being decided by an average of 4.3 points. With that said, the Mavs continue to win close games and Kyrie and Luka continue to look like Kyrie and Luka. As Ive said in previous write-ups, the Mavericks are going to be a tough out when their superstars are playing like superstars. Anthony Edwards can be aggressive as he wants to be, the Timberwolves have little chance if KAT continues to shoot poorly and Gobert gets played off the court. 

The Mavs are 10-3 SU and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games as a favorite. We’ve been on the Mavericks all series and pretty much all playoffs. No reason to back off the bandwagon now. I’ll lay the bucket with the Mavericks as they complete the sweep and make the NBA Finals for the first time in more than a decade.