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Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Prediction 11-8-24 NBA Picks

Phoenix Suns (7-1) vs. Dallas Mavericks (5-3)
November 8, 2024 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Mavericks -3.5; Over/Under: +230
(Get latest betting odds)

The Phoenix Suns and Dallas Mavericks meet Friday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Prediction. This article will include a Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Pick.

Phoenix Suns Betting Preview

The Phoenix Suns beat the 76ers and Heat, and they play the Jazz and Kings next. The Phoenix Suns are averaging 114.5 points on 47.5 percent shooting and allowing 111 points on 43.4 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 27.8 points and 6.8 rebounds, while Devin Booker is averaging 24.4 points and 4 rebounds. Bradley Beal is the third double-digit scorer and Royce O’Neale is grabbing 6.6 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 38.3 percent from beyond the arc and 79.7 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 37 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks beat the Bulls, lost to the Pacers, and they play the Nuggets and Warriors next. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 113.5 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 108.3 points on 43.8 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 28.6 points and 8.1 assists, while Kyrie Irving is averaging 23 points and 4.5 rebounds. Klay Thompson is the third double-digit scorer and Daniel Gafford is grabbing 5.9 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 75.2 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 32.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.1 rebounds per game.

Why the Phoenix Suns will win

  • The Mavericks have lost each of their last five games as favorites following a home win.
  • The Suns have won each of their last seven night games following a home win.
  • The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games as favorites following a home win.
  • The road team has covered the spread in each of the Suns’ last five games.

Total Points Facts

  • Eleven of the Mavericks’ last 12 night games against the Suns following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Seven of the Suns’ last eight games at American Airlines Center following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

  • Luka Doncic ranks 1st amongst qualified Guards for points per game (28.6) this season.
  • Daniel Gafford ranks 2nd amongst qualified Forwards for FG% (67.9%) this season.

Phoenix Suns Player Facts

  • Kevin Durant ranks 1st in the league for fast break points (50) this season.
  • Jusuf Nurkic ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for rebounds per 36 minutes (15.7) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Mavericks rank 1st in the league for opponent steals per game this season (5.8).
  • The Mavericks rank 2nd in the league for Q2 opponent points per game this season (25.0).
  • The Suns rank 30th in the league for field goal attempts per game this season (83.5).
  • The Suns rank 30th for points in the paint per game (40.5) this season.

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Prediction

The Dallas Mavericks are given the edge here because they’re at home, but they’ve been hit or miss up to this point, and it’s hard to figure out which team is going to show up from game to game. The Phoenix Suns are riding a 6 game winning streak, and they already beat the Mavs this season with a line that was +3.5 points. The Suns are winning close games, and they look confident with their big three rolling. Give me the points in a game the Suns could win outright yet again.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Phoenix Suns +3.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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