Boston Celtics (38-19) vs. Denver Nuggets (36-22)
February 25, 2026 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Denver Nuggets -4.5; Over/Under: 228.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Denver Nuggets play host to the Boston Celtics at Ball Arena on Wednesday night. Here’s a Nuggets vs. Celtics prediction. This article will include a Nuggets vs. Celtics pick.
Boston Celtics Betting Preview
The Boston Celtics have been on fire as they’ve reeled off nine wins from their past 10 games, and they will be gunning for a fifth straight victory after making light work of the Suns in a 97-81 road win last night. Derrick White led the team with 22 points, eight rebounds, and eight assists on nine of 18 shooting; Sam Hauser added 16 points with four assists, while Neemias Queta chipped in with 14 points, 13 rebounds, and two blocks. As a team, the Celtics shot 40 percent from the field and 13 of 47 from the 3-point line as they held the Suns to just 20 points in the second quarter to overcome a slow start and take the lead before they absolutely dominated the third quarter by 30-11 to push the margin out to 28 points at one stage. The only blemish from the impressive win was Payton Pritchard, who had a rough night as he shot just two of 13 from the field for his eight points.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets have been doing it tough lately, as they’ve lost six of their last nine games overall, and they will be hoping for a better effort after getting trampled by the severely depleted Warriors in a 128-117 road defeat on Sunday. Nikola Jokic led the team with a triple-double of 35 points with 20 rebounds and 12 assists; Jamal Murray added 21 points on nine of 17 shooting, while Christian Braun chipped in with 18 points on seven of 11 shooting. As a team, the Nuggets shot 46 percent from the field and eight of 31 from the 3-point line as they dominated the third quarter by 34-19 to overcome an early 14-point deficit, only to get blown out in the fourth quarter, where they scored just 16 points to lose by double digits on the road. Cameron Johnson scored just nine points on one of seven shots while Julian Strawther shot just two of seven for his six points.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The Nuggets have won each of their last six home games following a road loss.
- The Celtics have lost four of their last five night games against Nuggets teams that held a winning record.
- The Celtics have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 12 night games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Nuggets have covered the spread in five of their last six home games following a road loss.
Why the Boston Celtics will win
- The Celtics have won each of their last eight road games against Western Conference opponents.
- The Nuggets have lost each of their last seven games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Celtics have covered the spread in each of their last 10 road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Nuggets’ last 10 games as favorites following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Celtics’ last seven road games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
Denver Nuggets Player Facts
- Nikola Jokic ranks 1st amongst qualified players for assists per game (10.5) this season.
- Tim Hardaway Jr. ranks 15th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (3.7) this season.
Boston Celtics Player Facts
- Derrick White has recorded 53 games with 3+ assists this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
- The Celtics are allowing just 101.7 points per 48 minutes while Neemias Queta are on the floor this season – lowest mark of any qualified player in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for points per game this season (120.8).
- The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (12.2).
- The Celtics rank 1st in the league for opponent points per game this season (107.6).
- The Celtics rank 1st in the league for opponent steals per game this season (6.1).
Nuggets vs Celtics Prediction
The Celtics are still missing Jayson Tatum, and they are still keeping an eye on Jaylen Brown, who is dealing with a bruised right knee, while the Nuggets have ruled out Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon, and Jalen Pickett once again. The Nuggets haven’t been playing anywhere near their best lately, but you just get the feeling that they will turn things around sooner rather than later. However, the Celtics have been sensational lately, and I just resist them as the underdogs against anybody at the moment. Give me the Celtics to escape with the minor upset in this spot.
