Golden State Warriors (5-4) vs. Denver Nuggets (5-2)
November 7, 2025 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Denver Nuggets -9.5; Over/Under: 228.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Golden State Warriors travel to the Ball Arena to do battle with the Denver Nuggets on Friday night. Here’s a Nuggets vs Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Nuggets vs Warriors Pick.
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
The Golden State Warriors have cooled off lately with three losses in their last four outings and they will be itching to bounce back after falling just short to the struggling Kings in a 121-116 road defeat on Wednesday. Will Richard led the team with 30 points on 10 of 15 shooting, Moses Moody added 28 points on nine of 15 shooting while Jonathan Kuminga chipped in with 24 points.
As a team, the Warriors shot 44 percent from the field and 17 of 43 from the 3-point line as they got off to a quick start and took an early 13-point lead. Only to see their hard work go to waste in the third quarter where they allowed 35 points. The Warriors were playing without Stephen Curry, Draymond Green and Jimmy Butler III on this occasion.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets have been on a tear as they’ve won five of their last six games overall and they will be eager to keep it going after taking down the Heat in a 122-112 home win on Wednesday. Nikola Jokic led the team with a monster triple-double of 33 points with 15 rebounds and 16 assists on 12 of 18 shooting, Aaron Gordon added 24 points while Tim Hardaway Jr chipped in with 18 points off the bench.
As a team, the Nuggets shot just 42 percent from the field and 11 of 40 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 36 points in the first quarter to build a 17-point lead. This was more than enough to hold off a late rally from the Heat in the fourth quarter.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The Nuggets have won each of their last eight night games at Ball Arena.
- The Warriors have lost each of their last six road games against Nuggets teams that held a winning record.
- The Nuggets have covered the spread in each of their last six home games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six Friday games as underdogs.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The Warriors have won four of their last five games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Nuggets have lost six of their last eight night games against Pacific Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Warriors have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs following a road loss.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as home favorites against Pacific Division opponents following a win.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Nuggets’ last six night games against Pacific Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Warriors’ last five road games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Nuggets vs Warriors Prediction
The Warriors have ruled out Stephen Curry again and they are still keeping an eye on Jimmy Butler III who is questionable for this one, while the Nuggets are expecting to have a full squad to choose from. The Warriors need a win to get back on track, but they are going to find it tough without Curry to spread the court for everyone else. The Nuggets have been one of the form teams in the league lately and they have won all four home games so far. The Nuggets have the major advantage if Butler doesn’t suit up for this one, so I am sticking with the Nuggets to maintain their momentum with a win and cover here.
