Memphis Grizzlies (20-32) vs. Denver Nuggets (34-20)
February 11, 2026 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Denver Nuggets -13.5; Over/Under: 235.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Memphis Grizzlies invade the Ball Arena to do battle with the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday night. Here’s a Nuggets vs Grizzlies Prediction. This article will include a Nuggets vs Grizzlies Pick.
Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies have been in terrible form as they’ve lost nine of their last 11 games overall and they will be hoping to arrest a three-game slide after falling just short to the Warriors in a 114-113 road defeat on Monday. Ty Jerome led the team with 19 points and seven assists, Jahmai Mashack added 17 points on eight of 10 shooting while Taylor Hendricks and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope each scored 15 points. As a team, the Grizzlies shot 51 percent from the field and 10 of 32 from the 3-point line as they got off to a great start and dominated most of the contest to lead by as many as 17 points in the third quarter. However, the Grizzlies really let themselves down in the fourth quarter where they got outscored by 29-15 to lose the lead with just 19.4 seconds left on the clock.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets have been in a rut as they’ve dropped four of their last five games overall and they will be hoping to bounce back here after getting beaten by the Cavaliers in a 119-117 home defeat on Monday. Nikola Jokic led the team with a triple-double of 22 points with 14 rebounds and 11 assists, Christian Braun and Julian Strawther each scored 20 points while Jamal Murray tallied 17 points with eight rebounds and 11 assists. As a team, the Nuggets shot 45 percent from the field and 13 of 40 from the 3-point line as they got off to a solid start and held a narrow lead for almost the entire game. But they allowed the Cavaliers to hang around, and it cost them in the fourth quarter as they got outscored by 23-11 in the final 7:17 to lose a game they definitely should have won.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The Grizzlies have lost 14 of their last 15 road games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Nuggets have won each of their last nine games as favorites against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
- The Nuggets have covered the spread in each of their last six home games against the Grizzlies.
- The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games at Ball Arena.
Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win
- The Nuggets have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Southwest Division opponents.
- The Grizzlies have won 10 of their last 12 games against the Nuggets following a road loss.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 home games after losing as favorites.
- The road team has covered the spread in 12 of the Nuggets’ last 15 games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Nuggets’ last seven night games against Southwest Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Grizzlies’ last six games have gone OVER the total points line.
Nuggets vs Grizzlies Prediction
The Grizzlies are still missing Ja Morant, Zach Edey, Brandon Clarke, and Santi Aldama, while the Nuggets have ruled out Aaron Gordon and Peyton Watson, with Spencer Jones listed as questionable. The Nuggets haven’t been playing anywhere near their best lately, as they’ve lost four of their last five overall, but they have opened as massive favorites at home against the ice-cold Grizzlies. They were surprisingly competitive in a narrow loss to the Warriors on Monday. The Nuggets are bound to hit their stride sooner rather than later, and I think it starts with a comfortable win and cover in this one thanks to another triple-double from Nikola Jokic.
