Milwaukee Bucks (17-21) vs. Denver Nuggets (25-13)
January 11, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Denver Nuggets +2.5; Over/Under: 223.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Milwaukee Bucks and the Denver Nuggets collide at the Ball Arena on Sunday night. Here’s a Nuggets vs Bucks Prediction. This article will include a Nuggets vs Bucks Pick.
Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Bucks have been building nicely as they’ve won six of their last nine games overall and they will be eager to keep it going after outlasting the Lakers in a thrilling 105-101 road win on Friday. Kevin Porter Jr led the team in scoring with 22 points and six assists on seven of 14 shooting, Giannis Antetokounmpo tallied 21 points with six rebounds and five assists on nine of 11 shooting while Bobby Portis chipped in with 11 points and 12 rebounds. As a team, the Bucks shot 48 percent from the field and 12 of 34 from the 3-point line as they poured in 37 points in the second quarter to take a 12-point lead. However, they allowed the Lakers back in the contest and the game looked like it was headed for overtime before Antetokounmpo created a turnover in the clutch to steal the win.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets have been struggling with injuries lately as they’ve lost five of their last eight games overall and they will be looking to bounce back after getting thrashed by the Hawks in a 110-87 loss on Friday. Peyton Watson led the team in scoring with 25 points, 11 rebounds, and four assists on nine of 19 shooting. He didn’t get much support as Aaron Gordon scored 14 points while Zeke Naji added 12 points, but no other player scored more than 10 points. As a team, the Nuggets shot 42 percent from the field and 11 of 32 from the 3-point line as they held the Hawks to just 16 points in the third quarter to take the lead. However, they really let themselves down in the fourth quarter, where they got outscored by an incredible 16 points. 36-12.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The Nuggets have won seven of their last eight games as home underdogs following a loss.
- The Bucks have lost seven of their last nine games as favorites following a win.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in seven of the Nuggets’ last eight games.
- The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in 11 of their last 13 games following a win.
Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win
- The favorites have won each of the Bucks’ last six games at Ball Arena.
- The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Nuggets’ last five games at Ball Arena.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games as home underdogs against Central Division opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Nuggets’ last six games as home underdogs following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of the Bucks’ last eight games against Northwest Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Denver Nuggets Player Facts
- Peyton Watson is one of only six qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals and 1.0 blocks this season.
- Aaron Gordon is one of only seven players in the league to have made 10+ threes in a game this season.
Milwaukee Bucks Player Facts
- Giannis Antetokounmpo ranks 1st in the league for points in the paint (488) this season.
- Bobby Portis ranks 1st in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for 3P% (46.5%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for points per game this season (123.1).
- The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for steals per game this season (6.9).
- The Bucks rank 30th in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (8.6).
- The Bucks rank 30th in the league for free throw percentage this season (74.0%).
Nuggets vs Bucks Prediction
The Bucks are coming into this one with a full squad, while the Nuggets are still missing Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson and Jonas Valanciunas with Jamal Murray and Spencer Jones both questionable. The Bucks come into this meeting as the healthier team in better form, and they would’ve taken plenty of confidence from their hard fought win over the Lakers in their last outing. However, the Nuggets could be getting Murray back in the lineup, and they are always tough to beat at home. I wouldn’t be surprised at all if the Nuggets won this one, but the momentum is with the Bucks right now, and I think they get the win and cover at this short line.
