NY Knicks (40-23) vs. Denver Nuggets (39-24)
March 6, 2026 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Denver Nuggets +1; Over/Under: 229.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The New York Knicks pay a visit to the Denver Nuggets at the Ball Arena on Friday night. Here’s a Nuggets vs. Knicks prediction. This article will include a Nuggets vs. Knicks pick.
New York Knicks Betting Preview
The New York Knicks have been on a nice run lately, as they’ve won five of their last seven games overall, but they will be looking to bounce back in this one after having their three-game win streak snapped by the Thunder in a 103-100 loss on Wednesday. Karl-Anthony Towns led the team with 17 points and 17 rebounds on seven of eight shooting, Jalen Brunson added 16 points with 15 assists, OG Anunoby scored 16 points, and Mikal Bridges chipped in with 15 points. As a team, the Knicks shot 42 percent from the field and 10 of 35 from the 3-point line as they struggled to find their offense and scored just 17 points in the second quarter to trail by 10 points at halftime before they exploded for 40 points in the third quarter to reclaim the lead. Unfortunately, the Knicks couldn’t maintain that pace and scored just 20 points in the fourth quarter to let the Thunder off the hook in the end.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets have been playing a little below their best lately, as they’ve split their last 12 games but they will be aiming for a third straight victory after outlasting the Lakers in a 120-113 home win last night. Nikola Jokic led the team with a triple-double of 28 points with 12 rebounds and 13 assists on 10 of 15 shooting, Jamal Murray added 28 points with seven assists, Julian Strawther added 18 points, and Christian Braun chipped in with 15 points. As a team, the Nuggets shot 52 percent from the field and 14 of 31 from the 3-point line as they set the tone early with an 11-0 run to start the game, which allowed them to cruise for most of the game before they survived a late scare from the Lakers, who cut a 15-point deficit to just three points late in the fourth quarter.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The Nuggets have won six of their last seven games as underdogs when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Knicks have lost each of their last eight Friday games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Knicks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four road games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Nuggets have covered the spread in six of their last seven games as underdogs when playing with a rest disadvantage.
Why the New York Knicks will win
- The Knicks have won each of their last eight games as favorites against Northwest Division opponents.
- The Nuggets have lost five of their last six games against Knicks teams that held a winning record.
- The Knicks have covered the spread in each of their last six games as favorites against Northwest Division opponents.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games against Knicks teams that held a winning record.
Total Points: Facts
- Each of the Nuggets’ last five home games has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Six of the Knicks’ last seven games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Denver Nuggets Player Facts
- Nikola Jokic ranks 1st amongst qualified players for assists per game (10.4) this season.
- Jamal Murray is one of only five players in the league to have recorded 30+ points and 10+ assists in consecutive games this season.
New York Knicks Player Facts
- Mitchell Robinson ranks 1st amongst qualified players for rebounds per 36 minutes (16.1) this season.
- Karl-Anthony Towns ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (11.8) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for points per game this season (120.4).
- The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for steals per game this season (6.9).
- The Knicks rank 1st in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (10.0).
- The Knicks rank 1st in the league for Q4 opponent points per game this season (25.4).
Nuggets vs Knicks Prediction
The Knicks have ruled out Miles McBride once again with Josh Hart listed as questionable, while the Nuggets have ruled out Peyton Watson, but they are expecting to have Cameron Johnson, Spencer Jones, and Aaron Gordon back in action. These teams have already met once this season, with the Knicks winning by 134-127 in double overtime back on Feb 4 and I think we could be in for another classic. The Knicks are coming into this contest as the road favorite, which isn’t too surprising given their recent form, but the Nuggets are going to have some players return from injury in this one, which will be a nice boost in their second game of a back-to-back set. I’m still not convinced with the Nuggets lately, but I think they can get some revenge with a narrow win at home in this spot.
