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Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 12-29-23 NBA Picks

Denver Nuggets (22-10) vs Oklahoma City Thunder (20-9)
2023-12-29 21:00:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Denver Nuggets -3.5 -- Over/Under: 229.5
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The Oklahoma City Thunder pay a visit to the Denver Nuggets at the Ball Arena on Friday night. Here’s a Thunder vs Nuggets Prediction.

Oklahoma City Thunder 

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been in fine form as they’ve won seven of their last nine games overall and they will be aiming for a third straight victory after beating the Knicks in a 129-120 home win on Wednesday. Jalen Williams led the team in scoring with 36 points on 13 of 17 shooting, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander added 36 points with seven rebounds and eight assists while Chet Holmgren chipped in with 22 points. As a team, the Thunder shot 54 percent from the field and 14 of 32 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 38 points in the first quarter thanks to a hot start from Williams, but they ouldn’t put the Knicks away until they went on a 15-9 run late in the fourth quarter to escape with the narrow win. 

Oklahoma City Thunder Team Facts

  • The Thunder have lost each of their last 12 Friday games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last six games as road underdogs against the Nuggets.
  • Seven of the Thunder’s last eight games as underdogs following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.

Denver Nuggets 

Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets have been in red-hot form as they’ve won nine of their last 10 games and they will be eager to build on their current six-game win streak after blowing past the Grizzlies in a 142-105 win last night. Nikola Jokic led the team with a triple-double of 26 points with 14 rebounds and 10 assists on 11 of 11 shooting, Jamal Murray added 23 points with nine assists while PJ Watson chipped in with 20 points. As a team, the Nuggets shot 57 percent from the field and a sizzling 20 of 41 from the 3-point line as they jumped all over the Grizzlies from the start and outpaced them from start to finish to earn their biggest win of the season. 

Denver Nuggets Team Facts

  • The Nuggets have won 26 of their last 27 home games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The road team has covered the spread in each of the last eight games between the Thunder and Nuggets.
  • Ten of the Nuggets’ last 11 games against the Thunder following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Thunder vs Nuggets Prediction

The Thunder are keeping an eye on Jaylin Williams who is questionable here, while the Nuggets are still without Aaron Gordon. The Thunder will be quietly confident coming into this meeting as they have been playing some of their best basketball of the season, but it’s the Nuggets who open as the favorites at home even though they are playing their second game of a back to back set. The Thunder have already beaten the Nuggets once this season and I think they could pull off the upset here if the Nuggets get off to a slow start.

Joe Hall's Free Pick: Oklahoma City +3.5

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