Miami Heat (4-5) vs. Detroit Pistons (4-7)
November 12, 2024 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Pistons +1.5; Over/Under: +219.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Heat and Detroit Pistons meet Tuesday in NBA action at the Little Caesars Arena. Here’s a Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Pick.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat lost to the Nuggets, beat the Timberwolves, and they play the Pacers and 76ers next. The Miami Heat are averaging 109 points on 44.1 percent shooting and allowing 110 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 23.2 points and 5.2 rebounds, while Jimmy Butler is averaging 16.1 points and 4.8 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rozier is grabbing 4.7 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 39 percent from beyond the arc and 74.3 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43 rebounds per game.
Detroit Pistons Betting Preview
The Detroit Pistons beat the Hawks, lost to the Rockets, and they play the Bucks and Raptors next. The Detroit Pistons are averaging 107.1 points on 46.5 percent shooting and allowing 109.7 points on 45.4 percent shooting. Cade Cunningham is averaging 23.1 points and 7.3 rebounds, while Jaden Ivey is averaging 18.5 points and 3.5 assists. Tobias Harris is the third double-digit scorer and Tim Hardaway Jr. is grabbing 1.7 rebounds. The Detroit Pistons are shooting 33.9 percent from beyond the arc and 76.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Detroit Pistons are allowing 35.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.8 rebounds per game.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Pistons have lost each of their last nine home games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Heat have won each of their last seven games against the Pistons.
- The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last six road games against Eastern Conference opponents after winning as underdogs.
- The Pistons have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Pistons’ last seven games against the Heat following a home loss has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Heat’s last five games as road favorites following a road win has gone UNDER the total points line.
Miami Heat Player Facts
- Bam Adebayo ranks T4th amongst qualified players for steals + blocks per game (3.3) this season.
- Tyler Herro ranks T5th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made Per Game (4.0) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Pistons rank 30th in the league for steals per game this season (5.2).
- The Pistons have missed the playoffs in five consecutive seasons – the equal-second-longest active streak in the NBA
- The Heat rank 1st in the league for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (18.4).
- The Heat rank 30th in the league for Q3 points per game this season (22.9).
Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Prediction
The Detroit Pistons are playing better than expected and continue to get after it defensively, but they’re just not a team I’m excited to back from game to game. The Miami Heat are down Butler, but they’re coming off their best win of the season, and the offense looked somewhat better without him. There’s more room to operate without Butler either standing in the corner or dribbling the life out of the ball. This feels like a game where Herro could go crazy. I’ll lay the bucket with the Heat.
