Houston Rockets (11-4) vs. Golden State Warriors (10-9)
November 26, 2025 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Golden State Warriors -1.5; Over/Under: 225.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Houston Rockets and the Golden State Warriors collide at the Chase Center on Wednesday night. Here’s a Warriors vs Rockets Prediction. This article will include a Warriors vs Rockets Pick.
Houston Rockets Betting Preview
The Houston Rockets have been on a tear as they’ve won 11 of their last 13 games overall and they will be eager to stay hot after blowing past the red-hot Suns in a 114-92 road win on Monday. Amen Thompson led the team with 28 points, seven rebounds and eight assists on 10 of 16 shooting, Aaron Holiday added 22 points on eight of 17 shooting off the bench while Alperen Sengun tallied 18 points with five rebounds and five assists.
As a team, the Rockets shot 49 percent from the field and 13 of 31 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 30 points in the first quarter to take the narrow lead. They kept until they dominated the fourth quarter by 30-17 to pull away and make it look easy in the end despite playing without Kevin Durant who was out due to personal reasons.
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors were in a bit of a rut after dropping three straight games, but they were able to get back on track with a 134-117 home win over the Jazz on Monday. Stephen Curry led the team with 31 points on 12 of 24 shooting, Buddy Hield provided the spark off the bench with 20 points, five rebounds and four assists while Jimmy Butler III chipped in with 18 points and seven assists on eight of 11 shooting.
As a team, the Warriors shot 49 percent from the field and 19 of 52 from the 3-point line as they exploded for 41 points in the second quarter to take a 12-point lead into halftime. They poured another 39 points in the third quarter to lead by as many as 26 points.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The Warriors have won each of their last five games against Southwest Division opponents.
- The Rockets have lost nine of their last 11 games at Chase Center.
- The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last five games against Southwest Division opponents.
- The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in six of their last eight games as underdogs against Pacific Division opponents following a win.
Why the Houston Rockets will win
- The Rockets have won 19 of their last 20 Wednesday games.
- The Warriors have lost four of their last five games as favorites following a home win.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games as favorites following a home win.
- The Rockets have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 road games.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Warriors’ last eight games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Rockets’ last five road games against the Warriors following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
Golden State Warriors Player Facts
- Stephen Curry ranks 1st amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (4.9) this season.
- Jimmy Butler has recorded four games with 5+ assists and zero turnovers this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
Houston Rockets Player Facts
- Clint Capela ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for rebounds per 36 minutes (15.2) this season.
- Alperen Sengun is one of only five qualified players in the league averaging at least 7.0 rebounds and 7.0 assists this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Warriors rank 30th in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (82.4%).
- The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (16.3).
- The Rockets rank 1st in the league for rebounds per game this season (49.1).
- The Rockets rank 1st in the league for opponent rebounds per game this season (38.0).
Warriors vs Rockets Prediction
The Rockets are still missing Kevin Durant, Steven Adams and Tari Eason to name a few, while the Warriors are still without Jonathan Kuminga and Al Horford. The Rockets have been one of the surprise teams so far this season and they are coming into this in red-hot form after beating the Suns despite missing Kevin Durant, who is out again due to personal reasons.
The In contrast, the Warriors have yet to really get going this season, and they were really struggling with three losses in a row before they took down the slumping Jazz in their last outing. The Warriors need a win to get back on track, and they are certainly tempting at the short line at home, but it’s just too tough to back against the Rockets while they’re playing this well.
