Warriors vs Grizzlies Prediction 2/9/26 NBA Picks Today
Memphis Grizzlies (20-31) vs. Golden State Warriors (28-25)
February 9, 2026 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Golden State Warriors -7.5; Over/Under: 225.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Memphis Grizzlies travel to the Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Monday night. Here’s a Warriors vs Grizzlies Prediction. This article will include a Warriors vs Grizzlies Pick.
Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies have been in a major slump as they’ve lost eight of their last 10 games overall. They will be hoping to snap a two-game skid after getting beaten by the Trail Blazers in a 122-115 road defeat on Saturday. Olivier-Maxence Prosper drained seven 3-pointers to lead the team with 25 points off the bench, Javon Small added 22 points with six rebounds and four assists while Ty Jerome chipped in with 13 points. As a team, the Grizzlies shot 50 percent from the field and 16 of 38 from the 3-point line as they poured in 33 points in the third quarter to take an 11-point lead. But they couldn’t make their shots when it mattered most and got outscored by 34-19 in the fourth quarter to lose to the Trail Blazers for the second time in two nights.
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors have been in a slump as they’ve lost six of their last nine games overall. They will be eager to bounce back in this one after falling just short to the Lakers in a 105-99 road defeat on Saturday. Moses Moody led the team with 25 points, Gui Santos added 15 points while Pat Spencer and Brandin Podziemski each scored 14 points. As a team, the Warriors shot 42 percent from the field and 14 of 51 from the 3-point line as they played great defense in the first half to take the narrow lead into halftime. However, they couldn’t contain the Lakers in the third quarter where they leaked 38 points to start to fall behind. The Warriors fought back to trail by just one point midway through the fourth quarter before the Lakers went on a decisive 11-0 run to put the game out of reach.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The Grizzlies have lost each of their last 12 games against Pacific Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Warriors have won each of their last 11 home games against the Grizzlies.
- The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in 11 of their last 12 games against Pacific Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last four games following a road loss.
Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win
- The Warriors have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
- The underdogs have won each of the Warriors’ last three games at Chase Center.
- The Grizzlies have covered the spread in nine of their last 11 games against the Warriors following a road loss.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as favorites.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Warriors’ last six games as favorites against the Grizzlies have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Grizzlies’ last five games have gone OVER the total points line.
Golden State Warriors Player Facts
- Draymond Green is one of only seven qualified players in the league to be leading their team in rebounds (5.6) and assists (5.2) per game this season.
- Moses Moody ranks 28th amongst qualified players for 3P% (40.2%) this season.
Memphis Grizzlies Player Facts
- Ty Jerome leads all Grizzlies players for points per 36 minutes (35.8) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (16.4).
- The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (45.3).
- Ten different Grizzlies players have scored 25+ points in a game this season – equal-most in the league.
- The Grizzlies are one of only two teams to lose 10+ games when leading after Q3 this season.
Warriors vs Grizzlies Prediction
The Grizzlies are still missing Brandon Clarke, Zach Edey, and Ja Morant, but they could have Santi Aldama, Scotty Pippen Jr, and Cedric Coward back in the lineup. The Warriors have ruled out Stephen Curry, Seth Curry, Jimmy Butler III, and Kristaps Porzingis. The Grizzlies will receive a major boost with a bunch of players returning for this one, but they are still without Morant and only just traded away Jaren Jackson Jr, who was so important to their offense. Meanwhile, the Warriors are still missing a bunch of starters, but they were more than competitive in a narrow loss to the Lakers in their last outing, so they open as clear favorites at home. This should be close for the most part, but the Warriors showed us enough on Saturday that they can get the win here at home.