Minnesota Timberwolves (40-26) vs. Golden State Warriors (32-33)
March 13, 2026 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Golden State Warriors +5.5; Over/Under: 225.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Minnesota Timberwolves invade the Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Friday night. Here’s a Warriors vs. Timberwolves Prediction. This article will include a Warriors vs. Timberwolves pick.
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview
The Minnesota Timberwolves have cooled off a bit recently, as they are now on a three-game losing streak after getting humbled by the Clippers in a 153-128 road defeat on Wednesday. Anthony Edwards led the team with 36 points and five assists on 11 of 17 shooting, Naz Reid added 18 points on eight of 15 shooting off the bench, and Julius Randle chipped in with 11 points, six rebounds and four assists. As a team, the Timberwolves shot a sizzling 60 percent from the field and 11 of 25 from the 3-point line but that still wasn’t enough to hang with the Clippers, who were always in control after taking an early double-digit lead. The Timberwolves were in trouble from the very start and things went from bad to worse in the fourth quarter, where they leaked 44 points.
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors have been doing it tough, as they’ve lost eight of their last 11 games overall and they will be hoping to snap a three-game slide after getting beaten by the Bulls in a 130-124 overtime defeat on Tuesday. Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Pat Spencer and LJ Cryer each scored 17 points, while Al Horford chipped in with 13 points, nine rebounds and five assists. As a team, the Warriors shot 42 percent from the field and 20 of 54 from the 3-point line as they fought back from a 13-point deficit to force overtime. However, in overtime it was the Bulls who went on a crucial 9-3 run to slip away in the end. Brandin Podziemski had a quiet game of just nine points on three of eight shooting.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The Warriors have won each of their last seven home games against Western Conference opponents after losing as favorites.
- The Timberwolves have lost five of their last six games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents following a loss.
- The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six night games against Western Conference opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Warriors’ last four games.
Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win
- The Warriors have lost each of their last 11 night games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Timberwolves have won each of their last six games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine night games at Chase Center.
- The Timberwolves have covered the spread in each of their last four night games against the Warriors.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Warriors’ last eight games against the Timberwolves following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Timberwolves’ last five games as favorites has gone UNDER the total points line.
Golden State Warriors Player Facts
- Draymond Green is one of only seven qualified players in the league to be leading their team in rebounds (5.5) and assists (5.3) per game this season.
- Al Horford ranks 10th amongst qualified centers for three-pointers made per game (1.7) this season.
Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts
- Rudy Gobert ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FG% (70.7%) this season.
- Anthony Edwards ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for points per game (29.4) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (16.3).
- The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (45.5).
- The Timberwolves have used only seven different starting fives this season—the fewest in the league.
- The Timberwolves rank 2nd in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (3.8).
Warriors vs Timberwolves Prediction
The Timberwolves are keeping an eye on Ayo Dosunmu, who is questionable with a thumb injury, while the Warriors have ruled out Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III and Moses Moody, with De’Anthony Melton and Quentin Post both questionable. The Timberwolves haven’t been playing anywhere near their best over the past three games, but they will like their chances against the depleted Warriors, who they smashed by 108-83 back on Jan 26. I don’t think this will be such a blowout, but with the line so short, it doesn’t have to be. The Timberwolves were so uncharacteristically bad on defense in their last game that I can’t picture anything but the Timberwolves bouncing back in this spot.
