Grizzlies vs Nuggets Prediction 11/11/26 NBA Picks Today
Denver Nuggets (5-4) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (7-3)
November 11, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Memphis Grizzlies +3.5; Over/Under: 229.5
(Get latest betting odds)
Grizzlies vs Nuggets Prediction
The Nuggets are getting the benefit of the doubt because they’re the Nuggets. The veteran, proven team. Oddsmakers still don’t trust or believe in the Grizzlies, who are now underdogs for the 19th time in their last 21 games. However, here the Grizzlies are with a 7-3 SU and ATS record on the season. The Grizzlies are top-10 in most offensive statistics, including second in three-point percentage and first in free throw percentage. The defense is above average across the board.
The Nuggets have been hit or miss out of the gate, and they’re just 4-5 ATS. While still capable of competing with the league’s best, it does feel like the Nuggets are more vulnerable than in past years and just don’t have that pep in their step right now. Of course, the Nuggets have to be sharper defensively. We’ve been riding with the Grizzlies for a while. I’ll keep doing it until it no longer makes sense. Give me the points with the Grizzlies at home.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
The Denver Nuggets beat the Pacers, lost to the Rockets, and they play the Pelicans next. The Nuggets have won 18 of their last 22 regular season games. The Nuggets are 2-2 SU on the road, 2-2 SU at home, and 4-5 ATS this season.
The Denver Nuggets are averaging 113.7 points per game on 48.1 percent shooting and allowing 112.9 points per game on 46.4 percent shooting. Jamal Murray is averaging 25.8 points and 5.1 rebounds per game. Nikola Jokic is averaging 23.1 points and 10.8 rebounds per game. Christian Braun is averaging 12.4 points and 2.2 assists per game. Aaron Gordon is averaging 11.2 points and 5.2 rebounds per game. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 35.2 percent from beyond the arc and 80.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 34.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.3 rebounds per game.
Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies lost to the Thunder, beat the Raptors, and they play the Pelicans next. The Grizzlies have lost 3 of their last 4 games. The Grizzlies are 5-0 SU on the road, 2-3 SU at home, and 7-3 ATS on the season.
The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 117.9 points per game on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 110.8 points on 44.9 percent shooting. Ty Jerome is averaging 26.7 points and 3.7 rebounds per game. Cameron Boozer is averaging 16.2 points and 5.5 assists per game. Cedric Coward is averaging 12.6 points and 8.4 rebounds per game. Isaiah Stewart is averaging 11.9 points and 3.4 rebounds per game. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 38.6 percent from beyond the arc and 83.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 33 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.3 rebounds per game.
Grizzlies vs Nuggets Injury Report
The Grizzlies are without Scotty Pippen due to a disc herniation. Quinten Post is out with a concussion. Richie Saunders is out with a knee injury. Isaiah Stewart is questionable with a knee injury.
Julian Strawther is out for the Nuggets with a knee sprain.
Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win
- The Grizzlies have won each of their last two games as underdogs following a win.
- The Nuggets have lost four of their last six games as road favorites following a road loss.
- The Grizzlies have covered the spread in each of their last six games following a road win.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 15 night games at FedExForum.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The Grizzlies have lost each of their last 10 games as home underdogs following a win.
- The Nuggets have won each of their last seven road games against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.
- The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as home underdogs against Western Conference opponents following a win.
- The road team has covered the spread in eight of the Grizzlies’ last nine games.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of the Nuggets’ last nine games as road favorites following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Grizzlies’ last four home games following a road win have gone OVER the total points line.
Memphis Grizzlies Player Facts
- Cam Spencer is the only player in the league to have recorded 12+ assists without a turnover in a game this season.
- Cedric Coward ranks T1st amongst qualified Guards for rebounds per game (8.4) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Grizzlies rank 30th in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (6.8).
- The Grizzlies rank 1st in the league for free throw percentage this season (84.8%).
- The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (14.9).
- The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (18.3).
