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Grizzlies vs Pacers Prediction 11/4/26 NBA Picks Today

Indiana Pacers (2-6) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (6-1)
November 4, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Memphis Grizzlies -6.5; Over/Under: 229.5
(Get latest betting odds)

Grizzlies vs Pacers Prediction

The Pacers just can’t be trusted, as their injury report is as long as it was last season. We’re seeing Oubre, Zubac, Topping, McConnell, and Haliburton either out or day-to-day. That’s half their rotation, and it’s impossible to overcome that sort of lost production. Now the Grizzlies came back to earth a bit with a loss to the Pelicans, but they’re still 6-1 SU and ATS on the season.

The Grizzlies are the safer bet until they give us a reason to look the other way. The Pacers have too many injured bodies to seriously consider putting real dollars on them. I’ll lay the points with the Grizzlies.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

The Indiana Pacers lost to the Nets and Hawks, and they play the Nuggets next. The Pacers have lost 6 of their last 7 games.

The Indiana Pacers are averaging 111.8 points on 46.6 percent shooting and allowing 115.6 points on 45.1 percent shooting. Tyrese Haliburton is averaging 21.8 points and 4.5 rebounds, while Pascal Siakam is averaging 21.4 points and 7.4 rebounds. Andrew Nembhard is the third double-digit scorer, and Obi Toppin is grabbing 5.2 rebounds. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 32.9 percent from beyond the arc and 74.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 37.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.6 rebounds per game.

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview

The Memphis Grizzlies beat the Kings, lost to the Pelicans, and they play the Thunder next. The Grizzlies have won 6 of their last 7 games.

The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 123 points on 47.6 percent shooting and allowing 110.1 points on 43.5 percent shooting. Ty Jerome is averaging 28.2 points and 3.5 rebounds, while Cameron Boozer is averaging 17.4 points and 5.6 assists. Isaiah Stewart is the third double-digit scorer, and Cedric Coward is grabbing 8.7 rebounds. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 42.1 percent from beyond the arc and 84.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 31.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 49.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

  • The Pacers have lost each of their last 14 games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Grizzlies have won each of their last six home games against Central Division opponents after losing as favorites.
  • The Grizzlies have covered the spread in each of their last six games as home favorites against Central Division opponents following a loss.
  • The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games at FedExForum.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

  • The Grizzlies have lost 11 of their last 12 games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The road team has won 10 of the Pacers’ last 12 games.
  • The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight home games after losing as favorites.
  • The road team has covered the spread in five of the Grizzlies’ last six games.

Total Points Facts

  • Eight of the Pacers’ last nine road games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Eight of the Grizzlies’ last nine home night games following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.

Memphis Grizzlies Player Facts

  • Cam Spencer is the only player in the league to have recorded 12+ assists without a turnover in a game this season.
  • Cameron Boozer is the only player in the league averaging a double-double while shooting at least 30% from three this season.

Indiana Pacers Player Facts

  • Pascal Siakam is one of only eight qualified players in the league to be leading their team in points (21.4) and rebounds (7.4) per game this season.
  • Andrew Nembhard ranks T10th amongst qualified players for assists per game (7.3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Grizzlies rank 1st in the league for points per game this season (123.0).
  • The Grizzlies rank 1st in the league for three-point percentage this season (42.1%).
  • The Pacers rank 30th in the league for second-chance points per game (11.3) this season.
  • Twelve different Pacers players have scored 15+ points in a game this season- the most in the league.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Memphis Grizzlies -6.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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