Grizzlies vs Rockets Prediction 3/27/26 NBA Picks Today

The Houston Rockets and Memphis Grizzlies meet Friday in NBA action at the FedExForum. Here’s a Grizzlies vs. Rockets Prediction. This article will include a Grizzlies vs. Rockets Pick.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview

The Houston Rockets lost to the Bulls and Timberwolves, and they play the Pelicans next. The Rockets have lost 5 of their last 8 games.

The Houston Rockets are averaging 114 points on 47.6 percent shooting and allowing 109.9 points on 46.1 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 25.7 points and 5.4 rebounds, while Alperen Sengun is averaging 20.2 points and 8.9 rebounds. Amen Thompson is the third double-digit scorer, and Jabari Smith Jr. is grabbing 6.8 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 36.4 percent from beyond the arc and 75.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 35.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48 rebounds per game.

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview

The Memphis Grizzlies lost to the Spurs and Hawks and play the Bulls next. The Grizzlies have lost 12 of their last 13 games.

The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 115.7 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 118.6 points on 47.6 percent shooting. Ty Jerome is averaging 20.2 points and 3.1 rebounds, while Ja Morant is averaging 19.5 points and 8.1 assists. Santi Aldama is the third double-digit scorer, and Cedric Coward is grabbing 6.2 rebounds. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 79.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.5 rebounds per game.

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

• The Rockets have lost each of their last nine road games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
• The home team has won each of the Rockets’ last four games.
• The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine road games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
• The home team has covered the spread in five of the Grizzlies’ last six games.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

• The Grizzlies have lost 12 of their last 13 games.
• The Rockets have won eight of their last nine games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
• The road team has covered the spread in each of the last five games between the Rockets and Grizzlies.
• The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four home games against Rockets teams that held a winning record.

Total Points: Facts

• Each of the Grizzlies’ last seven games as home underdogs following a home loss has gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Rockets’ last eight Friday games has gone UNDER the total points line.

Memphis Grizzlies Player Facts

• Cam Spencer ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FT% (93.8%) this season.
• Cedric Coward is one of only eight qualified players in the league to be leading their team in points (13.3) and rebounds (6.1) per game this season.

Houston Rockets Player Facts

• Amen Thompson ranks 1st amongst qualified Guards for rebounds per game (7.9) this season.
• Alperen Sengun ranks 3rd in the league for points in the paint (892) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Grizzlies are one of only two teams to lose 12+ games when leading after Q3 this season.
• The Grizzlies are one of only two teams to lose 15+ games when leading at HT this season.
• The Rockets rank 1st in the league for rebounds per game this season (48.0).
• The Rockets rank 1st in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (15.0).

Grizzlies vs Rockets Injury Report

The Grizzlies will be without Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Zach Edey, Ja Morant, Scotty Pippen, Santi Aldama, and Brandon Clarke. Jahmai Mashack is questionable.

The Rockets will be without Fred VanVleet and Steven Adams.

Grizzlies vs Rockets Prediction

On paper the Rockets should win this game in a blowout, as there’s a talent and health gap. However, the Rockets continue to underachieve and don’t cover numbers. The Rockets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games and 30-42 ATS on the season. The body language isn’t great and the Rockets just don’t look like a serious contender most nights. Since December 21, the Rockets are 3-8 ATS as a double-digit favorite and they’ve outright lost 2 of those games. Yes, the Grizzlies aren’t trying to win and have half their team on the injury report. That doesn’t mean we lay all of these points with the Rockets. Give me the points.